HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Natalia Silva

Active #2 womens flyweight · 163 cm
Elo rating
1678 ±20
LCB 1652
Rank
#2
top 3% of division
UFC record
8-0-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
+8
Δ90d +15 · Δ1y +29
Last fight
Jan 24, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Jun 18, 2022 — W vs Jasmine Jasudavicius Δ+31Nov 19, 2022 — W vs Tereza Bleda Δ+30May 20, 2023 — W vs Victoria Leonardo Δ+25Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Andrea Lee Δ+23Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Viviane Araujo Δ+25Sep 7, 2024 — W vs Jessica Andrade Δ+15May 10, 2025 — W vs Alexa Grasso Δ+14Jan 24, 2026 — W vs Rose Namajunas Δ+15 14911548160516611718 2023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":198.6,"elo":1531,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Jasmine Jasudavicius","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":123.7,"y":170.5,"elo":1561,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Tereza Bleda","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":241.5,"y":147.3,"elo":1586,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Victoria Leonardo","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":3,"x":300.4,"y":126.1,"elo":1609,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Andrea Lee","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":409.2,"y":102.6,"elo":1634,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Viviane Araujo","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":549.7,"y":88.5,"elo":1649,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":708.3,"y":75.7,"elo":1663,"date":"2025-05-10","opp":"Alexa Grasso","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":61.4,"elo":1678,"date":"2026-01-24","opp":"Rose Namajunas","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 24, 2026 Rose Namajunas W +15
May 10, 2025 Alexa Grasso W +14
Sep 7, 2024 Jessica Andrade W +15
Feb 3, 2024 Viviane Araujo W +25
Aug 19, 2023 Andrea Lee W +23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.56 avg 3.75
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.24 avg 3.60
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
66% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.41 avg 1.36
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
30% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
90% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
2 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
75% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (75%) 6
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1587
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.4
actual +4 vs expected