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Natalia Silva

Active #2 womens flyweight · age 29 · Southpaw · 5'4" 163 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 65" 165 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1652
Global Elo 1678 ±20
Rank
#2
top 3% of division
UFC record
8-0-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
+8
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +15
Last fight
Jan 24, 2026
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 44m
Avg fight time
13:03
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
2.2
Since last fight
5mo

Honest Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Jun 18, 2022 — W vs Jasmine Jasudavicius Δ+31Nov 19, 2022 — W vs Tereza Bleda Δ+30May 20, 2023 — W vs Victoria Leonardo Δ+25Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Andrea Lee Δ+23Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Viviane Araujo Δ+25Sep 7, 2024 — W vs Jessica Andrade Δ+15May 10, 2025 — W vs Alexa Grasso Δ+14Jan 24, 2026 — W vs Rose Namajunas Δ+15 145015001550160016501700 2023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":339.3,"elo":1505,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Jasmine Jasudavicius","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":174.3,"y":300.8,"elo":1535,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Tereza Bleda","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":273.8,"y":269.1,"elo":1560,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Victoria Leonardo","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":3,"x":323.6,"y":240,"elo":1583,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Andrea Lee","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":415.5,"y":207.8,"elo":1608,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Viviane Araujo","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":534.3,"y":188.4,"elo":1623,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":668.3,"y":170.9,"elo":1637,"date":"2025-05-10","opp":"Alexa Grasso","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":810,"y":151.3,"elo":1652,"date":"2026-01-24","opp":"Rose Namajunas","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 24, 2026 Rose Namajunas W +15
May 10, 2025 Alexa Grasso W +14
Sep 7, 2024 Jessica Andrade W +15
Feb 3, 2024 Viviane Araujo W +25
Aug 19, 2023 Andrea Lee W +23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
2 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
75% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (75%) 6
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 502 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
94% Distance
  • Distance 94%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 3%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Unbeaten in the UFC
8-0 — no losses on record

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1587
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Rose Namajunas
Elo 1647 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.4
+3.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 8 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1529
1647

Top womens flyweight

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Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Natalia Silva on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.