HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Zhang Weili

Active #5 womens flyweight · Switch · 163 cm · reach 160 cm
Elo rating
1696 ±46
LCB 1636
Rank
#5
top 11% of division
UFC record
10-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 6
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -20
Last fight
Nov 15, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Aug 4, 2018 — W vs Danielle Taylor Δ+29Nov 24, 2018 — W vs Jessica Aguilar Δ+28Mar 2, 2019 — W vs Tecia Pennington Δ+30Aug 31, 2019 — W vs Jessica Andrade Δ+46Mar 7, 2020 — W vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk Δ+38Apr 24, 2021 — L vs Rose Namajunas Δ-27Nov 6, 2021 — L vs Rose Namajunas Δ-20Jun 11, 2022 — W vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk Δ+19Nov 12, 2022 — W vs Carla Esparza Δ+22Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Amanda Lemos Δ+18Apr 13, 2024 — W vs Yan Xiaonan Δ+17Feb 8, 2025 — W vs Tatiana Suarez Δ+19Nov 15, 2025 — L vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ-20 14891556162316901757 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":204.4,"elo":1529,"date":"2018-08-04","opp":"Danielle Taylor","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":59.9,"y":182.3,"elo":1557,"date":"2018-11-24","opp":"Jessica Aguilar","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":91.3,"y":158.5,"elo":1587,"date":"2019-03-02","opp":"Tecia Pennington","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":149.6,"y":122.1,"elo":1633,"date":"2019-08-31","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"W","delta":46},{"i":4,"x":210.1,"y":92.5,"elo":1670,"date":"2020-03-07","opp":"Joanna Jedrzejczyk","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":5,"x":342.4,"y":113.9,"elo":1643,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Rose Namajunas","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":6,"x":405.2,"y":130,"elo":1623,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Rose Namajunas","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":7,"x":474.7,"y":115.3,"elo":1641,"date":"2022-06-11","opp":"Joanna Jedrzejczyk","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":524,"y":97.9,"elo":1663,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Carla Esparza","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":9,"x":613.7,"y":83.9,"elo":1681,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Amanda Lemos","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":689.9,"y":70.5,"elo":1698,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Yan Xiaonan","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":786.3,"y":55.6,"elo":1717,"date":"2025-02-08","opp":"Tatiana Suarez","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":71.9,"elo":1696,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2025 Valentina Shevchenko L -20
Feb 8, 2025 Tatiana Suarez W +19
Apr 13, 2024 Yan Xiaonan W +17
Aug 19, 2023 Amanda Lemos W +18
Nov 12, 2022 Carla Esparza W +22

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.32 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
53% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.43 avg 3.59
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.81 avg 1.31
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
45% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.42 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
4 / 10
Finish rate
KO
2
20% of wins
SUB
2
20% of wins
DEC
6
60% of wins
KO: 2 (20%) 2 Sub: 2 (20%) 2 Dec: 6 (60%) 6
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
2 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1653
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.8
actual +3 vs expected