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Valentina Shevchenko "Bullet" C

Active #1 womens flyweight · age 38 · Southpaw · 5'5" 165 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 66" 168 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1683
Global Elo 1728 ±35
Rank
#1
top 1% of division
UFC record
15-3-1
KO 4 · Sub 2 · Dec 9
Streak
+3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +21
Last fight
Nov 15, 2025
Win by Decision · R5
Career at a glance
Octagon time
6h 2m
Avg fight time
19:04
Title fights
11-2
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
1.9
Ground control
1h 54m
Since last fight
7mo

Honest Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Dec 19, 2015 — W vs Sarah Kaufman Δ+29Mar 5, 2016 — L vs Amanda Nunes Δ-24Jul 23, 2016 — W vs Holly Holm Δ+34Jan 28, 2017 — W vs Julianna Pena Δ+41Sep 9, 2017 — L vs Amanda Nunes Δ-29Feb 3, 2018 — W vs Priscila Cachoeira Δ+16Dec 8, 2018 — W vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk Δ+25Jun 8, 2019 — W vs Jessica Eye Δ+16Aug 10, 2019 — W vs Liz Carmouche Δ+15Feb 8, 2020 — W vs Katlyn Cerminara Δ+21Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Jennifer Maia Δ+15Apr 24, 2021 — W vs Jessica Andrade Δ+20Sep 25, 2021 — W vs Lauren Murphy Δ+15Jun 11, 2022 — W vs Taila Santos Δ+15Mar 4, 2023 — L vs Alexa Grasso Δ-31Sep 16, 2023 — D vs Alexa Grasso Δ-4Sep 14, 2024 — W vs Alexa Grasso Δ+17May 10, 2025 — W vs Manon Fiorot Δ+19Nov 15, 2025 — W vs Zhang Weili Δ+21 14001450150015501600165017001750 20172019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":333.7,"elo":1483,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Sarah Kaufman","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":105.3,"y":356,"elo":1459,"date":"2016-03-05","opp":"Amanda Nunes","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":2,"x":133.2,"y":324.8,"elo":1493,"date":"2016-07-23","opp":"Holly Holm","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":170.8,"y":287.7,"elo":1534,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Julianna Pena","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":4,"x":215.3,"y":314.5,"elo":1504,"date":"2017-09-09","opp":"Amanda Nunes","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":244.6,"y":300.1,"elo":1520,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Priscila Cachoeira","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":305.9,"y":277,"elo":1546,"date":"2018-12-08","opp":"Joanna Jedrzejczyk","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":7,"x":342.1,"y":262.4,"elo":1561,"date":"2019-06-08","opp":"Jessica Eye","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":354.6,"y":249.2,"elo":1576,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Liz Carmouche","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":390.8,"y":230.1,"elo":1597,"date":"2020-02-08","opp":"Katlyn Cerminara","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":447.9,"y":216.8,"elo":1611,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Jennifer Maia","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":478.5,"y":199.1,"elo":1631,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":12,"x":509.2,"y":184.9,"elo":1646,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Lauren Murphy","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":560.7,"y":171.6,"elo":1661,"date":"2022-06-11","opp":"Taila Santos","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":14,"x":613.6,"y":199.9,"elo":1630,"date":"2023-03-04","opp":"Alexa Grasso","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":15,"x":652.6,"y":203.1,"elo":1626,"date":"2023-09-16","opp":"Alexa Grasso","result":"D","delta":-4},{"i":16,"x":725,"y":187.7,"elo":1643,"date":"2024-09-14","opp":"Alexa Grasso","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":17,"x":772.4,"y":170.1,"elo":1662,"date":"2025-05-10","opp":"Manon Fiorot","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":18,"x":810,"y":151.3,"elo":1683,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Zhang Weili","result":"W","delta":21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2025 Zhang Weili W +21
May 10, 2025 Manon Fiorot W +19
Sep 14, 2024 Alexa Grasso W +17
Sep 16, 2023 Alexa Grasso D -4
Mar 4, 2023 Alexa Grasso L -31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
6 / 15
Finish rate
KO
4
27% of wins
SUB
2
13% of wins
DEC
9
60% of wins
KO: 4 (27%) 4 Sub: 2 (13%) 2 Dec: 9 (60%) 9
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
R2
4 67%
R3
1 17%
R4
1 17%
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1100 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
72% Distance
  • Distance 72%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 19%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
1 of 3
0 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1640
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 15 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Zhang Weili
Elo 1717 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.3
+4.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 19 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1497
1717
Notable wins
Zhang Weili 1717 Manon Fiorot 1675 Joanna Jedrzejczyk 1659 Julianna Pena 1618 Alexa Grasso 1616 Jessica Andrade 1602

Top womens flyweight

See full rankings →
Natalia Silva
#2 · Elo 1652
Erin Blanchfield
#3 · Elo 1651
Manon Fiorot
#4 · Elo 1641
Zhang Weili
#5 · Elo 1637
Maycee Barber
#6 · Elo 1586
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Valentina Shevchenko on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.