HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Veronica Hardy

Active #25 womens flyweight
Elo rating
1490 ±36
LCB 1444
Rank
#25
top 67% of division
UFC record
5-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +14
Last fight
Oct 4, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Sep 3, 2016 — L vs Ashlee Evans-Smith Δ-33May 19, 2018 — L vs Andrea Lee Δ-26Feb 23, 2019 — L vs Gillian Robertson Δ-25Aug 10, 2019 — W vs Polyana Viana Δ+39Mar 14, 2020 — L vs Bea Malecki Δ-22Mar 18, 2023 — W vs Juliana Miller Δ+21Dec 2, 2023 — W vs Jamey-Lyn Horth Δ+20May 11, 2024 — W vs JJ Aldrich Δ+20Nov 16, 2024 — L vs Eduarda Moura Δ-16Oct 4, 2025 — W vs Brogan Walker Δ+14 13761415145414931532 2018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":111.9,"elo":1467,"date":"2016-09-03","opp":"Ashlee Evans-Smith","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":184,"y":147.2,"elo":1441,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Andrea Lee","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":255.9,"y":181.7,"elo":1416,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Gillian Robertson","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":3,"x":299,"y":129.4,"elo":1454,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Polyana Viana","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":4,"x":354.7,"y":159.7,"elo":1432,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Bea Malecki","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":5,"x":636.9,"y":131.8,"elo":1452,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Juliana Miller","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":6,"x":703.4,"y":105.4,"elo":1472,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Jamey-Lyn Horth","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":7,"x":744.8,"y":78.3,"elo":1492,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"JJ Aldrich","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":8,"x":793.3,"y":99.6,"elo":1476,"date":"2024-11-16","opp":"Eduarda Moura","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":80.2,"elo":1490,"date":"2025-10-04","opp":"Brogan Walker","result":"W","delta":14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 4, 2025 Brogan Walker W +14
Nov 16, 2024 Eduarda Moura L -16
May 11, 2024 JJ Aldrich W +20
Dec 2, 2023 Jamey-Lyn Horth W +20
Mar 18, 2023 Juliana Miller W +21

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.89 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.06 avg 3.57
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.78 avg 1.34
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
41% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
52% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.33 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
20%
1 / 5
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
4
80% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 4 (80%) 4
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1512
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.3
actual +1 vs expected