HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Gillian Robertson

Active #2 womens strawweight · Orthodox · 165 cm · reach 160 cm
Elo rating
1633 ±26
LCB 1599
Rank
#2
top 2% of division
UFC record
14-6-0
KO 3 · Sub 7 · Dec 4
Streak
+5
Δ90d +15 · Δ1y +31
Last fight
Mar 14, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Dec 1, 2017 — W vs Emily Whitmire Δ+33May 27, 2018 — W vs Molly McCann Δ+30Sep 22, 2018 — L vs Mayra Bueno Silva Δ-39Feb 23, 2019 — W vs Veronica Hardy Δ+25Jul 27, 2019 — W vs Sarah Frota Δ+26Oct 18, 2019 — L vs Maycee Barber Δ-19Jun 20, 2020 — W vs Cortney Casey Δ+15Oct 17, 2020 — W vs Poliana Botelho Δ+15Dec 19, 2020 — L vs Taila Santos Δ-20Mar 27, 2021 — L vs Miranda Maverick Δ-18Dec 11, 2021 — W vs Priscila Cachoeira Δ+15Mar 12, 2022 — L vs JJ Aldrich Δ-17Sep 17, 2022 — W vs Mariya Agapova Δ+16Apr 15, 2023 — W vs Piera Rodriguez Δ+18Jun 24, 2023 — L vs Tabatha Ricci Δ-17Jan 20, 2024 — W vs Polyana Viana Δ+14Jun 29, 2024 — W vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Δ+12Nov 9, 2024 — W vs Luana Pinheiro Δ+11May 3, 2025 — W vs Marina Rodriguez Δ+16Mar 14, 2026 — W vs Amanda Lemos Δ+15 14841531157816261673 2019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":180.8,"elo":1533,"date":"2017-12-01","opp":"Emily Whitmire","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":73.9,"y":147.1,"elo":1563,"date":"2018-05-27","opp":"Molly McCann","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":107.1,"y":191.1,"elo":1524,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Mayra Bueno Silva","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":3,"x":150.5,"y":162.5,"elo":1549,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Veronica Hardy","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":193.8,"y":133.3,"elo":1575,"date":"2019-07-27","opp":"Sarah Frota","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":217.2,"y":154.4,"elo":1557,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Maycee Barber","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":286.5,"y":137.4,"elo":1572,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Cortney Casey","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":320,"y":120.4,"elo":1587,"date":"2020-10-17","opp":"Poliana Botelho","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":337.8,"y":142.4,"elo":1567,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Taila Santos","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":9,"x":365.4,"y":162.4,"elo":1550,"date":"2021-03-27","opp":"Miranda Maverick","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":438.3,"y":145.3,"elo":1565,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Priscila Cachoeira","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":463.9,"y":164.1,"elo":1548,"date":"2022-03-12","opp":"JJ Aldrich","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":12,"x":517.2,"y":146.7,"elo":1564,"date":"2022-09-17","opp":"Mariya Agapova","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":576.3,"y":126.7,"elo":1581,"date":"2023-04-15","opp":"Piera Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":14,"x":596,"y":145.9,"elo":1564,"date":"2023-06-24","opp":"Tabatha Ricci","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":15,"x":655.2,"y":130.3,"elo":1578,"date":"2024-01-20","opp":"Polyana Viana","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":16,"x":700.5,"y":116.7,"elo":1590,"date":"2024-06-29","opp":"Michelle Waterson-Gomez","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":17,"x":738,"y":103.9,"elo":1602,"date":"2024-11-09","opp":"Luana Pinheiro","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":18,"x":787.3,"y":86.2,"elo":1617,"date":"2025-05-03","opp":"Marina Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":19,"x":876,"y":68.9,"elo":1633,"date":"2026-03-14","opp":"Amanda Lemos","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 14, 2026 Amanda Lemos W +15
May 3, 2025 Marina Rodriguez W +16
Nov 9, 2024 Luana Pinheiro W +11
Jun 29, 2024 Michelle Waterson-Gomez W +12
Jan 20, 2024 Polyana Viana W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.49 avg 3.87
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.62 avg 3.35
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.53 avg 1.82
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
41% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
39% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.80 avg 0.51
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
71%
10 / 14
Finish rate
KO
3
21% of wins
SUB
7
50% of wins
DEC
4
29% of wins
KO: 3 (21%) 3 Sub: 7 (50%) 7 Dec: 4 (29%) 4
Finishes by round
10 total
R1
2 20%
R2
7 70%
R3
1 10%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1522
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
11.4
actual +3 vs expected