HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Andrea Lee

Active #28 womens flyweight · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1459 ±33
LCB 1416
Rank
#28
top 75% of division
UFC record
5-9-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
-6
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Mar 1, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
May 19, 2018 — W vs Veronica Hardy Δ+26Feb 17, 2019 — W vs Ashlee Evans-Smith Δ+26Jun 22, 2019 — W vs Montana De La Rosa Δ+32Sep 7, 2019 — L vs Joanne Wood Δ-34Feb 8, 2020 — L vs Lauren Murphy Δ-34Sep 12, 2020 — L vs Roxanne Modafferi Δ-18May 15, 2021 — W vs Antonina Shevchenko Δ+20Nov 13, 2021 — W vs Cynthia Calvillo Δ+21May 14, 2022 — L vs Viviane Araujo Δ-15Mar 25, 2023 — L vs Maycee Barber Δ-14Aug 19, 2023 — L vs Natalia Silva Δ-13Feb 17, 2024 — L vs Miranda Maverick Δ-14Jun 8, 2024 — L vs Montana De La Rosa Δ-14Mar 1, 2025 — L vs JJ Aldrich Δ-13 14191470152115731624 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":125,"elo":1526,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Veronica Hardy","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":118.2,"y":98.7,"elo":1552,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Ashlee Evans-Smith","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":161.2,"y":65.3,"elo":1584,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Montana De La Rosa","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":187.7,"y":100.1,"elo":1550,"date":"2019-09-07","opp":"Joanne Wood","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":4,"x":240.6,"y":134.9,"elo":1517,"date":"2020-02-08","opp":"Lauren Murphy","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":315.2,"y":153.3,"elo":1499,"date":"2020-09-12","opp":"Roxanne Modafferi","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":399.5,"y":132.3,"elo":1519,"date":"2021-05-15","opp":"Antonina Shevchenko","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":7,"x":462,"y":110.5,"elo":1540,"date":"2021-11-13","opp":"Cynthia Calvillo","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":524.6,"y":125.8,"elo":1525,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Viviane Araujo","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":632.9,"y":139.9,"elo":1512,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Maycee Barber","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":10,"x":683.5,"y":152.9,"elo":1499,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Natalia Silva","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":11,"x":746,"y":167.1,"elo":1485,"date":"2024-02-17","opp":"Miranda Maverick","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":12,"x":784.5,"y":181.3,"elo":1472,"date":"2024-06-08","opp":"Montana De La Rosa","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":194.7,"elo":1459,"date":"2025-03-01","opp":"JJ Aldrich","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 1, 2025 JJ Aldrich L -13
Jun 8, 2024 Montana De La Rosa L -14
Feb 17, 2024 Miranda Maverick L -14
Aug 19, 2023 Natalia Silva L -13
Mar 25, 2023 Maycee Barber L -14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.62 avg 3.75
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.91 avg 3.54
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.65 avg 1.31
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
52% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
54% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.60 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
2 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
3
60% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 3 (60%) 3
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
2 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1556
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.7
actual -2 vs expected