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Dione Barbosa "The Witch"

Active #18 womens flyweight · age 34 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 66" 168 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 18
vs Veronica Hardy · UFC Fight Night Oklahoma
At a glance
Elo rating
1489
Global Elo 1537 ±37
Rank
#18
top 47% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d +31 · Δ1y +7
Last fight
Apr 4, 2026
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 4m
Avg fight time
12:51
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.6
Ground control
17m
Since last fight
3mo

Honest Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
May 4, 2024 — W vs Ernesta Kareckaite Δ+29Jul 20, 2024 — L vs Miranda Maverick Δ-26Apr 5, 2025 — W vs Diana Belbita Δ+27Aug 16, 2025 — L vs Karine Silva Δ-24Apr 4, 2026 — W vs Melissa Gatto Δ+31 14301450147014901510 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":206.4,"elo":1481,"date":"2024-05-04","opp":"Ernesta Kareckaite","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":169.2,"y":310.8,"elo":1455,"date":"2024-07-20","opp":"Miranda Maverick","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":435.6,"y":201.2,"elo":1482,"date":"2025-04-05","opp":"Diana Belbita","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":572.4,"y":298.8,"elo":1458,"date":"2025-08-16","opp":"Karine Silva","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":4,"x":810,"y":174.8,"elo":1489,"date":"2026-04-04","opp":"Melissa Gatto","result":"W","delta":31}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 4, 2026 Melissa Gatto W +31
Aug 16, 2025 Karine Silva L -24
Apr 5, 2025 Diana Belbita W +27
Jul 20, 2024 Miranda Maverick L -26
May 4, 2024 Ernesta Kareckaite W +29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 148 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
  • Head 63%
  • Body 28%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 9%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 2 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1524
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Melissa Gatto
Elo 1532 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.4
+0.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 5 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1532

Top womens flyweight

See full rankings →
Valentina Shevchenko C
#1 · Elo 1683
Natalia Silva
#2 · Elo 1652
Erin Blanchfield
#3 · Elo 1651
Manon Fiorot
#4 · Elo 1641
Zhang Weili
#5 · Elo 1637
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Dione Barbosa on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.