HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Karine Silva

Active #12 womens flyweight
Elo rating
1582 ±33
LCB 1540
Rank
#12
top 31% of division
UFC record
5-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Jun 4, 2022 — W vs Poliana Botelho Δ+34Jun 3, 2023 — W vs Ketlen Souza Δ+30Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Maryna Moroz Δ+31Apr 27, 2024 — W vs Ariane Da Silva Δ+23Nov 16, 2024 — L vs Viviane Araujo Δ-34Aug 16, 2025 — W vs Dione Barbosa Δ+14Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Maycee Barber Δ-15 14941535157616171658 202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":184.3,"elo":1534,"date":"2022-06-04","opp":"Poliana Botelho","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":266.1,"y":145.7,"elo":1564,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Ketlen Souza","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":317.3,"y":105.8,"elo":1595,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Maryna Moroz","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":484.9,"y":75.7,"elo":1618,"date":"2024-04-27","opp":"Ariane Da Silva","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":619.9,"y":120,"elo":1584,"date":"2024-11-16","opp":"Viviane Araujo","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":801.5,"y":102.5,"elo":1597,"date":"2025-08-16","opp":"Dione Barbosa","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":121.5,"elo":1582,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Maycee Barber","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Maycee Barber L -15
Aug 16, 2025 Dione Barbosa W +14
Nov 16, 2024 Viviane Araujo L -34
Apr 27, 2024 Ariane Da Silva W +23
Aug 19, 2023 Maryna Moroz W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.43 avg 3.83
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.81 avg 3.58
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.40 avg 1.29
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
55% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
25% avg 65%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.20 avg 0.41
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
3
60% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 3 (60%) 3 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1555
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.8
actual +1 vs expected