Other bouts 7
- 1bantamweight MainMalcolm WellmakervsOtari Tanzilovi
- 2lightweightMatheus CamilovsJai Herbert
- 3welterweightFrancisco PradovsArtur Minev
- 4women's bantamweightDaria ZhelezniakovavsAlice Pereira
- 6flyweightErnesta KareckaitevsMelissa Gatto
- 7light heavyweightJulius WalkervsGerald Meerschaert
- 8heavyweightRj HarrisvsAllen Frye Jr.
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Independent UFC analytics
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Other fights on this card · 7
Notable
Cross-division matchup: the model gives Poppeck +102 Elo for a ~35 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.
Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 1-1-0 | UFC record | 0-1-0 |
| KO 1 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | -1 |
| 25 | Age | 34 |
| 6'1" 185 cm | Height | 6'2" 188 cm |
| 76" 193 cm | Reach | — |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1520 | Global Elo | 1524 |
| 1467 | Elo rating | 1498 |
Felipe Franco — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 86% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Alexander Poppeck — Notable ▼
Felipe Franco — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 60 landed total · career
- Head 85%
- Body 13%
- Leg 2%
- Distance 42%
- Clinch 13%
- Ground 45%
Alexander Poppeck — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 8 landed total · career
- Head 25%
- Body 13%
- Leg 63%
- Distance 100%
- Clinch 0%
- Ground 0%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Iwo Baraniewski11.29
- 2Zhang Mingyang6.64
- 3Carlos Ulberg6.61
- 4Navajo Stirling6.41
- 5Paulo Costa6.15
- 1Diyar Nurgozhay63%
- 2Paulo Costa59%
- 3Rodolfo Bellato59%
- 4Zhang Mingyang59%
- 5Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev58%
- 1Oumar Sy1.87
- 2Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev2.25
- 3Navajo Stirling2.46
- 4Magomed Ankalaev2.49
- 5Austen Lane2.56
- 1Oumar Sy67%
- 2Caio Machado62%
- 3Navajo Stirling59%
- 4Robert Whittaker59%
- 5Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev58%
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev12.68
- 2Jimmy Crute4.64
- 3Julius Walker4.07
- 4Ion Cutelaba4.02
- 5Bruno Lopes2.91
- 1Iwo Baraniewski100%
- 2Zhang Mingyang100%
- 3Julius Walker100%
- 4Bruno Lopes100%
- 5Rodolfo Bellato92%
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev8.45
- 2Jimmy Crute2.13
- 3Nikita Krylov1.14
- 4Billy Elekana0.85
- 5Tuco Tokkos0.70
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev10.07
- 2Julius Walker8.17
- 3Austen Lane6.24
- 4Jimmy Crute6.02
- 5Nikita Krylov5.30
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Felipe Franco has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1533 vs 1500, 0 quality wins to 0.
- Jul 18, 2026
- Mar 21, 2026
- Aug 1, 2026