HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Katlyn Cerminara

Inactive
Elo rating
1584 ±35
LCB 1539
Rank
—
—
UFC record
11-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 11
Streak
-2
Δ90d -10 · Δ1y -10
Last fight
Mar 9, 2024
L by Decision

Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Jul 13, 2016 — W vs Lauren Murphy Δ+27Nov 12, 2016 — L vs Liz Carmouche Δ-33Apr 8, 2017 — W vs Irene Aldana Δ+27Jan 27, 2018 — W vs Mara Romero Borella Δ+30Jul 28, 2018 — W vs Alexis Davis Δ+31Dec 8, 2018 — L vs Jessica Eye Δ-21Jun 8, 2019 — W vs Joanne Wood Δ+15Nov 2, 2019 — W vs Jennifer Maia Δ+14Feb 8, 2020 — L vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ-21May 30, 2020 — W vs Antonina Shevchenko Δ+14Oct 17, 2020 — L vs Jessica Andrade Δ-18Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Cynthia Calvillo Δ+18May 15, 2021 — W vs Viviane Araujo Δ+16Jan 15, 2022 — W vs Jennifer Maia Δ+14May 14, 2022 — W vs Amanda Ribas Δ+15Oct 22, 2022 — L vs Manon Fiorot Δ-17Mar 9, 2024 — L vs Maycee Barber Δ-16 14541507156016131666 2018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":162.8,"elo":1527,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Lauren Murphy","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":61.2,"y":196.2,"elo":1494,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Liz Carmouche","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":106,"y":169.6,"elo":1520,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Irene Aldana","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":195.6,"y":139.8,"elo":1550,"date":"2018-01-27","opp":"Mara Romero Borella","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":251,"y":108.9,"elo":1581,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Alexis Davis","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":291.5,"y":130.2,"elo":1560,"date":"2018-12-08","opp":"Jessica Eye","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":347,"y":115.4,"elo":1575,"date":"2019-06-08","opp":"Joanne Wood","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":391.8,"y":101.3,"elo":1589,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Jennifer Maia","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":421.7,"y":122.1,"elo":1568,"date":"2020-02-08","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":9,"x":455.8,"y":108.1,"elo":1582,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Antonina Shevchenko","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":498.5,"y":126.2,"elo":1564,"date":"2020-10-17","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":11,"x":509.1,"y":108.3,"elo":1582,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Cynthia Calvillo","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":562.4,"y":92.3,"elo":1598,"date":"2021-05-15","opp":"Viviane Araujo","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":637.1,"y":79,"elo":1611,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Jennifer Maia","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":14,"x":673.4,"y":63.8,"elo":1626,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Amanda Ribas","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":15,"x":722.4,"y":80.4,"elo":1610,"date":"2022-10-22","opp":"Manon Fiorot","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":16,"x":876,"y":96.3,"elo":1594,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Maycee Barber","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 9, 2024 Maycee Barber L -16
Oct 22, 2022 Manon Fiorot L -17
May 14, 2022 Amanda Ribas W +15
Jan 15, 2022 Jennifer Maia W +14
May 15, 2021 Viviane Araujo W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.51 avg 3.78
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
35% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.41 avg 3.55
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.31 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
16% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.31 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 11
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
11
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 11 (100%) 11

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1588
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.9
actual +2 vs expected