HonestElo
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Katlyn Cerminara "Blonde Fighter"

Inactive
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2016
Elo rating
1537
Global Elo 1583 ±35
Rank
—
—
UFC record
11-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 11
Streak
-2
Δ90d -11 · Δ1y -11
Last fight
Mar 9, 2024
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 1m
Avg fight time
14:10
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
2.2
Since last fight
2y 3mo

Honest Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Jul 13, 2016 — W vs Lauren Murphy Δ+27Nov 12, 2016 — L vs Liz Carmouche Δ-33Apr 8, 2017 — W vs Irene Aldana Δ+27Jan 27, 2018 — W vs Mara Romero Borella Δ+30Jul 28, 2018 — W vs Alexis Davis Δ+31Dec 8, 2018 — L vs Jessica Eye Δ-21Jun 8, 2019 — W vs Joanne Wood Δ+15Nov 2, 2019 — W vs Jennifer Maia Δ+14Feb 8, 2020 — L vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ-21May 30, 2020 — W vs Antonina Shevchenko Δ+14Oct 17, 2020 — L vs Jessica Andrade Δ-18Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Cynthia Calvillo Δ+18May 15, 2021 — W vs Viviane Araujo Δ+16Jan 15, 2022 — W vs Jennifer Maia Δ+14May 14, 2022 — W vs Amanda Ribas Δ+15Oct 22, 2022 — L vs Manon Fiorot Δ-17Mar 9, 2024 — L vs Maycee Barber Δ-16 14001450150015501600 2018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":297.5,"elo":1470,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Lauren Murphy","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":121.4,"y":351.1,"elo":1437,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Liz Carmouche","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":159.3,"y":308.4,"elo":1464,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Irene Aldana","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":235,"y":260.6,"elo":1493,"date":"2018-01-27","opp":"Mara Romero Borella","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":281.8,"y":211,"elo":1524,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Alexis Davis","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":316.1,"y":245.2,"elo":1503,"date":"2018-12-08","opp":"Jessica Eye","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":363,"y":221.4,"elo":1518,"date":"2019-06-08","opp":"Joanne Wood","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":400.8,"y":198.8,"elo":1532,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Jennifer Maia","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":426.1,"y":232.2,"elo":1511,"date":"2020-02-08","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":9,"x":454.9,"y":209.7,"elo":1525,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Antonina Shevchenko","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":490.9,"y":238.8,"elo":1507,"date":"2020-10-17","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":11,"x":500,"y":210,"elo":1525,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Cynthia Calvillo","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":545,"y":184.4,"elo":1541,"date":"2021-05-15","opp":"Viviane Araujo","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":608.1,"y":163,"elo":1554,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Jennifer Maia","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":14,"x":638.8,"y":138.6,"elo":1570,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Amanda Ribas","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":15,"x":680.2,"y":165.2,"elo":1553,"date":"2022-10-22","opp":"Manon Fiorot","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":16,"x":810,"y":190.8,"elo":1537,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Maycee Barber","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 9, 2024 Maycee Barber L -16
Oct 22, 2022 Manon Fiorot L -17
May 14, 2022 Amanda Ribas W +15
Jan 15, 2022 Jennifer Maia W +14
May 15, 2021 Viviane Araujo W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 11
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
11
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 11 (100%) 11

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1104 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
61% Head
  • Head 61%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 5%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
2 of 6
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 4 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1588
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Cynthia Calvillo
Elo 1608 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.9
+2.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 17 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1478
1610
Notable wins
Cynthia Calvillo 1608

Top womens flyweight

See full rankings →
Valentina Shevchenko C
#1 · Elo 1683
Natalia Silva
#2 · Elo 1652
Erin Blanchfield
#3 · Elo 1651
Manon Fiorot
#4 · Elo 1641
Zhang Weili
#5 · Elo 1637
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Katlyn Cerminara on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.