HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Jennifer Maia

Inactive · Orthodox · 163 cm · reach 163 cm
Elo rating
1536 ±35
LCB 1490
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 5
Streak
-1
Δ90d -1 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Oct 14, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Jul 14, 2018 — L vs Liz Carmouche Δ-31Mar 23, 2019 — W vs Alexis Davis Δ+36Jul 20, 2019 — W vs Roxanne Modafferi Δ+27Nov 2, 2019 — L vs Katlyn Cerminara Δ-25Aug 1, 2020 — W vs Joanne Wood Δ+36Nov 21, 2020 — L vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ-14Jul 10, 2021 — W vs Jessica Eye Δ+13Jan 15, 2022 — L vs Katlyn Cerminara Δ-13Mar 26, 2022 — L vs Manon Fiorot Δ-13Nov 19, 2022 — W vs Maryna Moroz Δ+18Mar 18, 2023 — W vs Casey O'Neill Δ+19Oct 14, 2023 — L vs Viviane Araujo Δ-16 14291470151115521593 20192020202120222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":184.1,"elo":1469,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Liz Carmouche","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":135.9,"y":137.3,"elo":1505,"date":"2019-03-23","opp":"Alexis Davis","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":188.8,"y":102.1,"elo":1532,"date":"2019-07-20","opp":"Roxanne Modafferi","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":235.4,"y":134.9,"elo":1507,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Katlyn Cerminara","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":4,"x":356.7,"y":87.7,"elo":1544,"date":"2020-08-01","opp":"Joanne Wood","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":5,"x":406.5,"y":106.5,"elo":1529,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":6,"x":509.1,"y":89.9,"elo":1542,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Jessica Eye","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":593,"y":107.3,"elo":1528,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Katlyn Cerminara","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":8,"x":624.1,"y":124.4,"elo":1515,"date":"2022-03-26","opp":"Manon Fiorot","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":9,"x":729.9,"y":101.1,"elo":1533,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Maryna Moroz","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":782.7,"y":75.9,"elo":1553,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Casey O'Neill","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":96.9,"elo":1536,"date":"2023-10-14","opp":"Viviane Araujo","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 14, 2023 Viviane Araujo L -16
Mar 18, 2023 Casey O'Neill W +19
Nov 19, 2022 Maryna Moroz W +18
Mar 26, 2022 Manon Fiorot L -13
Jan 15, 2022 Katlyn Cerminara L -13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.34 avg 3.78
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
39% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.51 avg 3.55
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.42 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
28% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
59% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.08 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
17%
1 / 6
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
17% of wins
DEC
5
83% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (17%) 1 Dec: 5 (83%) 5
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1581
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.5
actual +1 vs expected