HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Active #32 womens strawweight · age 40 · Orthodox · 5'3" 160 cm · 115 lb 52 kg · reach 64" 163 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • UFC veteran since 2015
Elo rating
1444
Global Elo 1493 ±38
Rank
#32
top 66% of division
UFC record
9-10-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 8
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -20
Last fight
Oct 11, 2025
Loss by KO · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 12m
Avg fight time
13:14
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
1.9
Since last fight
8mo

Honest Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Dec 19, 2015 — W vs Randa Markos Δ+29May 8, 2016 — W vs Heather Clark Δ+29Jul 30, 2016 — W vs Rose Namajunas Δ+30Nov 12, 2016 — L vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk Δ-27Jun 3, 2017 — L vs Claudia Gadelha Δ-35Oct 21, 2017 — W vs Jodie Esquibel Δ+15Apr 7, 2018 — W vs Felice Herrig Δ+19Sep 8, 2018 — L vs Jessica Andrade Δ-17Mar 30, 2019 — L vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Δ-15Jun 8, 2019 — L vs Alexa Grasso Δ-17Feb 22, 2020 — L vs Yan Xiaonan Δ-12Aug 7, 2021 — L vs Jessica Penne Δ-20Jun 4, 2022 — W vs Felice Herrig Δ+22Nov 12, 2022 — W vs Silvana Gomez Juarez Δ+15May 20, 2023 — W vs Vanessa Demopoulos Δ+18Oct 7, 2023 — W vs Diana Belbita Δ+13May 4, 2024 — L vs Iasmin Lucindo Δ-17Nov 9, 2024 — L vs Denise Gomes Δ-15Oct 11, 2025 — L vs Julia Polastri Δ-20 14001425145014751500152515501575 20172019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":263.3,"elo":1480,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Randa Markos","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":118.3,"y":210.7,"elo":1509,"date":"2016-05-08","opp":"Heather Clark","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":135,"y":156.2,"elo":1539,"date":"2016-07-30","opp":"Rose Namajunas","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":156.1,"y":206.1,"elo":1512,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Joanna Jedrzejczyk","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":4,"x":196.9,"y":271,"elo":1476,"date":"2017-06-03","opp":"Claudia Gadelha","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":5,"x":225,"y":243.8,"elo":1491,"date":"2017-10-21","opp":"Jodie Esquibel","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":258.8,"y":209.4,"elo":1510,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Felice Herrig","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":7,"x":289.7,"y":240.5,"elo":1493,"date":"2018-09-08","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":330.5,"y":268.8,"elo":1477,"date":"2019-03-30","opp":"Michelle Waterson-Gomez","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":344.5,"y":300.3,"elo":1460,"date":"2019-06-08","opp":"Alexa Grasso","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":396.6,"y":322.6,"elo":1448,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Yan Xiaonan","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":11,"x":503.4,"y":358.4,"elo":1428,"date":"2021-08-07","opp":"Jessica Penne","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":563.9,"y":318.4,"elo":1450,"date":"2022-06-04","opp":"Felice Herrig","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":13,"x":596.3,"y":291.9,"elo":1465,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Silvana Gomez Juarez","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":14,"x":634.2,"y":258.6,"elo":1483,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Vanessa Demopoulos","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":15,"x":662.3,"y":234.5,"elo":1496,"date":"2023-10-07","opp":"Diana Belbita","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":16,"x":704.5,"y":264.8,"elo":1479,"date":"2024-05-04","opp":"Iasmin Lucindo","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":17,"x":742.5,"y":293,"elo":1464,"date":"2024-11-09","opp":"Denise Gomes","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":18,"x":810,"y":329.7,"elo":1444,"date":"2025-10-11","opp":"Julia Polastri","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 11, 2025 Julia Polastri L -20
Nov 9, 2024 Denise Gomes L -15
May 4, 2024 Iasmin Lucindo L -17
Oct 7, 2023 Diana Belbita W +13
May 20, 2023 Vanessa Demopoulos W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
11%
1 / 9
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
11% of wins
DEC
8
89% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (11%) 1 Dec: 8 (89%) 8
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1394 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
61% Head
  • Head 61%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
79% Distance
  • Distance 79%
  • Clinch 18%
  • Ground 3%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
40%
of losses by finish
4 of 10 · usually R1
2 KO/TKO 2 Sub 6 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1517
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Felice Herrig
Elo 1603 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
9.3
−0.3 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 19 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1505
1481
Notable wins
Felice Herrig 1603

Top womens strawweight

See full rankings →
Tatiana Suarez
#1 · Elo 1656
Gillian Robertson
#2 · Elo 1601
Mackenzie Dern C
#3 · Elo 1574
Virna Jandiroba
#4 · Elo 1569
Alexia Thainara
#5 · Elo 1561
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Karolina Kowalkiewicz on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.