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Alexa Grasso

Active #10 womens flyweight · age 32 · Orthodox · 5'5" 165 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 66" 168 cm
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • UFC veteran since 2016
Elo rating
1563
Global Elo 1607 ±34
Rank
#10
top 25% of division
UFC record
9-5-1
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 6
Streak
+1
Δ90d +21 · Δ1y +21
Last fight
Mar 28, 2026
Win by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 44m
Avg fight time
14:56
Title fights
1-1
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
1.6
Since last fight
3mo

Honest Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Nov 5, 2016 — W vs Heather Clark Δ+29Feb 4, 2017 — L vs Felice Herrig Δ-28Aug 5, 2017 — W vs Randa Markos Δ+28May 19, 2018 — L vs Tatiana Suarez Δ-29Jun 8, 2019 — W vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz Δ+31Sep 21, 2019 — L vs Carla Esparza Δ-16Aug 29, 2020 — W vs Ji Yeon Kim Δ+17Feb 13, 2021 — W vs Maycee Barber Δ+18Mar 26, 2022 — W vs Joanne Wood Δ+16Oct 15, 2022 — W vs Viviane Araujo Δ+17Mar 4, 2023 — W vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ+31Sep 16, 2023 — D vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ+4Sep 14, 2024 — L vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ-17May 10, 2025 — L vs Natalia Silva Δ-14Mar 28, 2026 — W vs Maycee Barber Δ+21 14251450147515001525155015751600 20182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":299.9,"elo":1485,"date":"2016-11-05","opp":"Heather Clark","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":109.1,"y":351.7,"elo":1457,"date":"2017-02-04","opp":"Felice Herrig","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":147.3,"y":301,"elo":1485,"date":"2017-08-05","opp":"Randa Markos","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":207.6,"y":354,"elo":1456,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Tatiana Suarez","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":288.4,"y":297.4,"elo":1487,"date":"2019-06-08","opp":"Karolina Kowalkiewicz","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":310.4,"y":326.1,"elo":1471,"date":"2019-09-21","opp":"Carla Esparza","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":382.4,"y":295.3,"elo":1488,"date":"2020-08-29","opp":"Ji Yeon Kim","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":417.7,"y":263.3,"elo":1505,"date":"2021-02-13","opp":"Maycee Barber","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":502.9,"y":234.1,"elo":1521,"date":"2022-03-26","opp":"Joanne Wood","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":545.5,"y":203.6,"elo":1538,"date":"2022-10-15","opp":"Viviane Araujo","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":574.9,"y":147.1,"elo":1569,"date":"2023-03-04","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":11,"x":616,"y":140.7,"elo":1572,"date":"2023-09-16","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"D","delta":4},{"i":12,"x":692.4,"y":171.4,"elo":1555,"date":"2024-09-14","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":13,"x":742.4,"y":196.4,"elo":1542,"date":"2025-05-10","opp":"Natalia Silva","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":14,"x":810,"y":157.5,"elo":1563,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Maycee Barber","result":"W","delta":21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 28, 2026 Maycee Barber W +21
May 10, 2025 Natalia Silva L -14
Sep 14, 2024 Valentina Shevchenko L -17
Sep 16, 2023 Valentina Shevchenko D +4
Mar 4, 2023 Valentina Shevchenko W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
3 / 9
Finish rate
KO
1
11% of wins
SUB
2
22% of wins
DEC
6
67% of wins
KO: 1 (11%) 1 Sub: 2 (22%) 2 Dec: 6 (67%) 6
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
R3
R4
1 33%
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 921 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
62% Head
  • Head 62%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 3%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
20%
of losses by finish
1 of 5
0 KO/TKO 1 Sub 4 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1668
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Valentina Shevchenko
Elo 1706 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.9
+2.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 15 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1640

Top womens flyweight

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Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Alexa Grasso on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.