HonestElo
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Jesse Forbes

Inactive · Southpaw · 188 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1440 ±20
LCB 1414
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d +35 · Δ1y +35
Last fight
May 29, 2010
L by Submission

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Jun 24, 2006 — L vs Matt Hamill Δ-33Jan 11, 2010 — L vs Nick Catone Δ-28May 29, 2010 — L vs Ryan Jensen Δ-34 13651400143614711507 2007200820092010 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":83.6,"elo":1467,"date":"2006-06-24","opp":"Matt Hamill","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":794.1,"y":126,"elo":1439,"date":"2010-01-11","opp":"Nick Catone","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":176.4,"elo":1405,"date":"2010-05-29","opp":"Ryan Jensen","result":"L","delta":-34}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 29, 2010 Ryan Jensen L -34
Jan 11, 2010 Nick Catone L -28
Jun 24, 2006 Matt Hamill L -33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.76 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
23% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.72 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.60 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
70% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.60 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1468
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.5
actual -1 vs expected