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Jesse Forbes "Kid Hercules"

Inactive · age 41 · Southpaw · 6'2" 188 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Submission of the Night in last fight
  • UFC veteran since 2006
Elo rating
1413
Global Elo 1439 ±20
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d +34 · Δ1y +34
Last fight
May 29, 2010
Loss by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
21m
Avg fight time
6:58
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
0.8
Since last fight
16y 1mo

Honest Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Jun 24, 2006 — L vs Matt Hamill Δ-33Jan 11, 2010 — L vs Nick Catone Δ-28May 29, 2010 — L vs Ryan Jensen Δ-34 1380140014201440146014801500 2007200820092010 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":156.4,"elo":1475,"date":"2006-06-24","opp":"Matt Hamill","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":740.8,"y":232.1,"elo":1447,"date":"2010-01-11","opp":"Nick Catone","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":810,"y":322.3,"elo":1413,"date":"2010-05-29","opp":"Ryan Jensen","result":"L","delta":-34}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 29, 2010 Ryan Jensen L -34
Jan 11, 2010 Nick Catone L -28
Jun 24, 2006 Matt Hamill L -33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 44 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
57% Head
  • Head 57%
  • Body 39%
  • Leg 5%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
55% Distance
  • Distance 55%
  • Clinch 43%
  • Ground 2%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
2 of 3 · usually R1
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 1 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1468
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
—
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
1.5
−1.5 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 3 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1431

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Jesse Forbes on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.