HonestElo
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Keith Jardine

Inactive · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1525 ±39
LCB 1474
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-4
Δ90d +4 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
Jun 19, 2010
L by Decision

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Nov 5, 2005 — W vs Kerry Schall Δ+33Feb 4, 2006 — W vs Mike Whitehead Δ+26Apr 6, 2006 — L vs Stephan Bonnar Δ-31Jun 24, 2006 — W vs Wilson Gouveia Δ+27Dec 30, 2006 — W vs Forrest Griffin Δ+37May 26, 2007 — L vs Houston Alexander Δ-23Sep 22, 2007 — W vs Chuck Liddell Δ+22May 24, 2008 — L vs Wanderlei Silva Δ-25Oct 18, 2008 — W vs Brandon Vera Δ+17Mar 7, 2009 — L vs Quinton Jackson Δ-15Aug 29, 2009 — L vs Thiago Silva Δ-17Feb 20, 2010 — L vs Ryan Bader Δ-16Jun 19, 2010 — L vs Matt Hamill Δ-13 14811519155615941631 20062007200820092010 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":162.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2005-11-05","opp":"Kerry Schall","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":70,"y":125.8,"elo":1559,"date":"2006-02-04","opp":"Mike Whitehead","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":100.8,"y":169.7,"elo":1528,"date":"2006-04-06","opp":"Stephan Bonnar","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":140.7,"y":132.3,"elo":1555,"date":"2006-06-24","opp":"Wilson Gouveia","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":236.1,"y":80.5,"elo":1591,"date":"2006-12-30","opp":"Forrest Griffin","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":5,"x":310.4,"y":113.3,"elo":1568,"date":"2007-05-26","opp":"Houston Alexander","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":6,"x":370.5,"y":81.9,"elo":1590,"date":"2007-09-22","opp":"Chuck Liddell","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":7,"x":494.2,"y":117,"elo":1565,"date":"2008-05-24","opp":"Wanderlei Silva","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":8,"x":568.4,"y":93.4,"elo":1582,"date":"2008-10-18","opp":"Brandon Vera","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":639.1,"y":114,"elo":1568,"date":"2009-03-07","opp":"Quinton Jackson","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":727.5,"y":138.3,"elo":1550,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Thiago Silva","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":815.9,"y":161.2,"elo":1534,"date":"2010-02-20","opp":"Ryan Bader","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":179.5,"elo":1521,"date":"2010-06-19","opp":"Matt Hamill","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 19, 2010 Matt Hamill L -13
Feb 20, 2010 Ryan Bader L -16
Aug 29, 2009 Thiago Silva L -17
Mar 7, 2009 Quinton Jackson L -15
Oct 18, 2008 Brandon Vera W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.59 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
37% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.71 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
63% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.30 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
65% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
2 / 6
Finish rate
KO
2
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
67% of wins
KO: 2 (33%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (67%) 4
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1596
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.4
actual 0 vs expected