HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Alexia Thainara "Burguesinha"

Active #3 womens strawweight · age 30 · Orthodox · 5'4" 163 cm · 115 lb 52 kg · reach 67" 170 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1590
Global Elo 1616 ±20
Rank
#3
top 4% of division
UFC record
4-0-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
+4
Δ90d +29 · Δ1y +82
Last fight
Aug 8, 2026
Win by Decision

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Mar 22, 2025 — W vs Molly McCann Δ+34Sep 27, 2025 — W vs Loma Lookboonmee Δ+32Mar 28, 2026 — W vs Bruna Brasil Δ+22Aug 8, 2026 — W vs Amanda Lemos Δ+29 1475150015251550157516001625 2026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":340,"elo":1508,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Molly McCann","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":360,"y":272.4,"elo":1540,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Loma Lookboonmee","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":620,"y":226.3,"elo":1561,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Bruna Brasil","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":3,"x":810,"y":164.9,"elo":1590,"date":"2026-08-08","opp":"Amanda Lemos","result":"W","delta":29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 8, 2026 Amanda Lemos W +29
Mar 28, 2026 Bruna Brasil W +22
Sep 27, 2025 Loma Lookboonmee W +32
Mar 22, 2025 Molly McCann W +34
1 post-fight bonus
  • Performance of the Night ×1
$50,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Alexia Thainara has earned 1. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (25%) 1 Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 209 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
49% Head
  • Head 49%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 24%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
64% Distance
  • Distance 64%
  • Clinch 22%
  • Ground 14%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Unbeaten in the UFC
4-0 — no losses on record

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1535
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Amanda Lemos
Elo 1588 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.1
+1.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 4 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1508
1588
Career at a glance
Octagon time
50m
Avg fight time
12:23
Fights per year
2.9
Since last fight
7d
Bonuses
1
Ground control
31m
vs Compare Alexia Thainara with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top womens strawweight

See full rankings →
Tatiana Suarez
#1 · Elo 1656
Mackenzie Dern C
#2 · Elo 1592
Gillian Robertson
#4 · Elo 1570
Virna Jandiroba
#5 · Elo 1569
Fatima Kline
#6 · Elo 1557
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Alexia Thainara on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.