HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Alexia Thainara

Active #4 womens strawweight
Elo rating
1587 ±20
LCB 1561
Rank
#4
top 6% of division
UFC record
3-0-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+3
Δ90d +22 · Δ1y +53
Last fight
Mar 28, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Mar 22, 2025 — W vs Molly McCann Δ+34Sep 27, 2025 — W vs Loma Lookboonmee Δ+32Mar 28, 2026 — W vs Bruna Brasil Δ+22 14941527156015941627 2026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":172.4,"elo":1534,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Molly McCann","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":458,"y":122,"elo":1566,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Loma Lookboonmee","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":87.6,"elo":1587,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Bruna Brasil","result":"W","delta":22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 28, 2026 Bruna Brasil W +22
Sep 27, 2025 Loma Lookboonmee W +32
Mar 22, 2025 Molly McCann W +34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.66 avg 3.83
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.17 avg 3.37
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
45% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
5.14 avg 1.73
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
52% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
100% avg 66%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
2.14 avg 0.47
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
10 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1518
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.6
actual +1 vs expected