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Nicolle Caliari

Active Provisional #24 womens flyweight
Elo rating
1470 ±20
LCB 1444
Rank
#24
top 64% of division
UFC record
0-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +31 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Jul 19, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

2 fights · tap & drag
Jan 11, 2025 — L vs Ernesta Kareckaite Δ-31Jul 19, 2025 — L vs Carli Judice Δ-30 13991426145414811509 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":101.2,"elo":1469,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Ernesta Kareckaite","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":876,"y":158.8,"elo":1439,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Carli Judice","result":"L","delta":-30}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 19, 2025 Carli Judice L -30
Jan 11, 2025 Ernesta Kareckaite L -31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.30 avg 3.80
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
37% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
6.80 avg 3.44
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.00 avg 1.30
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
18% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1487
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.0
actual -1 vs expected