HonestElo
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Marina Rodriguez

Active #23 womens strawweight · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 165 cm
Elo rating
1536 ±41
LCB 1482
Rank
#23
top 43% of division
UFC record
7-6-2
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -16
Last fight
May 3, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Sep 22, 2018 — D vs Randa Markos Δ-2Mar 30, 2019 — W vs Jessica Aguilar Δ+25Aug 10, 2019 — W vs Tecia Pennington Δ+32Dec 7, 2019 — D vs Cynthia Calvillo Δ+4Jul 25, 2020 — L vs Carla Esparza Δ-28Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Amanda Ribas Δ+23May 8, 2021 — W vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Δ+16Oct 9, 2021 — W vs Mackenzie Dern Δ+18Mar 5, 2022 — W vs Yan Xiaonan Δ+17Nov 5, 2022 — L vs Amanda Lemos Δ-18May 6, 2023 — L vs Virna Jandiroba Δ-18Sep 23, 2023 — W vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Δ+15Apr 13, 2024 — L vs Jessica Andrade Δ-15Oct 5, 2024 — L vs Iasmin Lucindo Δ-16May 3, 2025 — L vs Gillian Robertson Δ-16 14581504155115971644 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":190.4,"elo":1498,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Randa Markos","result":"D","delta":-2},{"i":1,"x":90.7,"y":162.3,"elo":1523,"date":"2019-03-30","opp":"Jessica Aguilar","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":137.6,"y":126.2,"elo":1554,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Tecia Pennington","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":179.6,"y":122,"elo":1558,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Cynthia Calvillo","result":"D","delta":4},{"i":4,"x":261.1,"y":154,"elo":1530,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Carla Esparza","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":5,"x":325.3,"y":127.7,"elo":1553,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Amanda Ribas","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":6,"x":362.3,"y":109.3,"elo":1569,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Michelle Waterson-Gomez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":416.7,"y":89,"elo":1587,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Mackenzie Dern","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":468.5,"y":69.6,"elo":1604,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Yan Xiaonan","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":555,"y":90.4,"elo":1586,"date":"2022-11-05","opp":"Amanda Lemos","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":619.2,"y":110.6,"elo":1568,"date":"2023-05-06","opp":"Virna Jandiroba","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":11,"x":668.6,"y":93.4,"elo":1583,"date":"2023-09-23","opp":"Michelle Waterson-Gomez","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":740.2,"y":110.7,"elo":1568,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":13,"x":801.9,"y":129.2,"elo":1552,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Iasmin Lucindo","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":147.2,"elo":1536,"date":"2025-05-03","opp":"Gillian Robertson","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 3, 2025 Gillian Robertson L -16
Oct 5, 2024 Iasmin Lucindo L -16
Apr 13, 2024 Jessica Andrade L -15
Sep 23, 2023 Michelle Waterson-Gomez W +15
May 6, 2023 Virna Jandiroba L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.15 avg 3.82
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.84 avg 3.35
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.20 avg 1.90
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
43% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
61% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.26 avg 0.53
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
2 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
71% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (71%) 5
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
2 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1564
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.3
actual 0 vs expected