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Marina Rodriguez

Active #21 womens strawweight · age 39 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 115 lb 52 kg · reach 65" 165 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • UFC veteran since 2018
Elo rating
1491
Global Elo 1536 ±34
Rank
#21
top 43% of division
UFC record
7-6-2
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
May 3, 2025
Loss by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 37m
Avg fight time
14:26
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
2.3
Since last fight
1y 2mo

Honest Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Sep 22, 2018 — D vs Randa Markos Δ-2Mar 30, 2019 — W vs Jessica Aguilar Δ+25Aug 10, 2019 — W vs Tecia Pennington Δ+32Dec 7, 2019 — D vs Cynthia Calvillo Δ+4Jul 25, 2020 — L vs Carla Esparza Δ-28Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Amanda Ribas Δ+23May 8, 2021 — W vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Δ+16Oct 9, 2021 — W vs Mackenzie Dern Δ+18Mar 5, 2022 — W vs Yan Xiaonan Δ+17Nov 5, 2022 — L vs Amanda Lemos Δ-18May 6, 2023 — L vs Virna Jandiroba Δ-18Sep 23, 2023 — W vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Δ+15Apr 13, 2024 — L vs Jessica Andrade Δ-15Oct 5, 2024 — L vs Iasmin Lucindo Δ-16May 3, 2025 — L vs Gillian Robertson Δ-16 14251450147515001525155015751600 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":359,"elo":1453,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Randa Markos","result":"D","delta":-2},{"i":1,"x":146.3,"y":314,"elo":1478,"date":"2019-03-30","opp":"Jessica Aguilar","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":186,"y":256.2,"elo":1509,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Tecia Pennington","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":221.5,"y":249.5,"elo":1513,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Cynthia Calvillo","result":"D","delta":4},{"i":4,"x":290.3,"y":300.7,"elo":1485,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Carla Esparza","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":5,"x":344.6,"y":258.6,"elo":1508,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Amanda Ribas","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":6,"x":375.9,"y":229.2,"elo":1524,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Michelle Waterson-Gomez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":421.8,"y":196.6,"elo":1542,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Mackenzie Dern","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":465.7,"y":165.5,"elo":1559,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Yan Xiaonan","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":538.7,"y":198.8,"elo":1541,"date":"2022-11-05","opp":"Amanda Lemos","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":593,"y":231.2,"elo":1523,"date":"2023-05-06","opp":"Virna Jandiroba","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":11,"x":634.7,"y":203.6,"elo":1538,"date":"2023-09-23","opp":"Michelle Waterson-Gomez","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":695.2,"y":231.3,"elo":1523,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":13,"x":747.4,"y":261,"elo":1507,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Iasmin Lucindo","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":14,"x":810,"y":289.9,"elo":1491,"date":"2025-05-03","opp":"Gillian Robertson","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 3, 2025 Gillian Robertson L -16
Oct 5, 2024 Iasmin Lucindo L -16
Apr 13, 2024 Jessica Andrade L -15
Sep 23, 2023 Michelle Waterson-Gomez W +15
May 6, 2023 Virna Jandiroba L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
2 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
71% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (71%) 5
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
2 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 955 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
68% Distance
  • Distance 68%
  • Clinch 24%
  • Ground 8%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
2 of 6
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 4 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1564
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Amanda Ribas
Elo 1620 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.3
−0.3 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 15 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1475
1602

Top womens strawweight

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Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Marina Rodriguez on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.