HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Alice Ardelean

Active #38 womens strawweight
Elo rating
1495 ±41
LCB 1441
Rank
#38
top 73% of division
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +55
Last fight
Nov 1, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Shauna Bannon Δ-31Oct 19, 2024 — L vs Melissa Martinez Δ-29May 31, 2025 — W vs Rayanne Dos Santos Δ+29Nov 1, 2025 — W vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz Δ+26 14001434146715011535 2025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":128,"elo":1469,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Shauna Bannon","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":178.9,"y":173.3,"elo":1440,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Melissa Martinez","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":592,"y":127.3,"elo":1469,"date":"2025-05-31","opp":"Rayanne Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":86.7,"elo":1495,"date":"2025-11-01","opp":"Montserrat Conejo Ruiz","result":"W","delta":26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 1, 2025 Montserrat Conejo Ruiz W +26
May 31, 2025 Rayanne Dos Santos W +29
Oct 19, 2024 Melissa Martinez L -29
Jul 27, 2024 Shauna Bannon L -31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
7.35 avg 3.83
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.20 avg 3.33
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.00 avg 1.84
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
86% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1454
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.1
actual 0 vs expected