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Alice Ardelean

Active #25 womens strawweight · age 34 · Orthodox · 5'3" 160 cm · 115 lb 52 kg · reach 62" 158 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1475
Global Elo 1524 ±38
Rank
#25
top 51% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+3
Δ90d +29 · Δ1y +55
Last fight
May 16, 2026
Win by Submission · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 10m
Avg fight time
13:55
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.8
Since last fight
1mo

Honest Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Shauna Bannon Δ-31Oct 19, 2024 — L vs Melissa Martinez Δ-29May 31, 2025 — W vs Rayanne Dos Santos Δ+29Nov 1, 2025 — W vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz Δ+26May 16, 2026 — W vs Polyana Viana Δ+29 1350137514001425145014751500 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":262.2,"elo":1419,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Shauna Bannon","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":181.9,"y":323.8,"elo":1390,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Melissa Martinez","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":427,"y":261.3,"elo":1420,"date":"2025-05-31","opp":"Rayanne Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":595.5,"y":206.1,"elo":1446,"date":"2025-11-01","opp":"Montserrat Conejo Ruiz","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":810,"y":144.4,"elo":1475,"date":"2026-05-16","opp":"Polyana Viana","result":"W","delta":29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 16, 2026 Polyana Viana W +29
Nov 1, 2025 Montserrat Conejo Ruiz W +26
May 31, 2025 Rayanne Dos Santos W +29
Oct 19, 2024 Melissa Martinez L -29
Jul 27, 2024 Shauna Bannon L -31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 487 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
97% Distance
  • Distance 97%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 1%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 2 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1453
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Polyana Viana
Elo 1451 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.6
+0.3 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 5 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1468
1451

Top womens strawweight

See full rankings →
Tatiana Suarez
#1 · Elo 1656
Gillian Robertson
#2 · Elo 1601
Mackenzie Dern C
#3 · Elo 1574
Virna Jandiroba
#4 · Elo 1569
Alexia Thainara
#5 · Elo 1561
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Alice Ardelean on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.