HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Molly McCann

Active #39 womens strawweight · Orthodox · 163 cm · reach 157 cm
Elo rating
1489 ±38
LCB 1439
Rank
#39
top 75% of division
UFC record
7-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Mar 22, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
May 27, 2018 — L vs Gillian Robertson Δ-30Mar 16, 2019 — W vs Priscila Cachoeira Δ+29Jun 22, 2019 — W vs Ariane Da Silva Δ+27Oct 18, 2019 — W vs Diana Belbita Δ+27Jul 15, 2020 — L vs Taila Santos Δ-35Feb 6, 2021 — L vs Lara Procopio Δ-18Sep 4, 2021 — W vs Ji Yeon Kim Δ+17Mar 19, 2022 — W vs Luana Carolina Δ+20Jul 23, 2022 — W vs Hannah Goldy Δ+15Nov 12, 2022 — L vs Erin Blanchfield Δ-16Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Julija Stoliarenko Δ-24Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Diana Belbita Δ+16Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Bruna Brasil Δ-18Mar 22, 2025 — L vs Alexia Thainara Δ-19 14301471151115521592 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":183.8,"elo":1470,"date":"2018-05-27","opp":"Gillian Robertson","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":124.2,"y":145.9,"elo":1499,"date":"2019-03-16","opp":"Priscila Cachoeira","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":157.7,"y":111.1,"elo":1526,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Ariane Da Silva","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":198.1,"y":76.2,"elo":1552,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Diana Belbita","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":290.8,"y":122.5,"elo":1517,"date":"2020-07-15","opp":"Taila Santos","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":5,"x":361.2,"y":146.1,"elo":1499,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Lara Procopio","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":433.1,"y":124.2,"elo":1516,"date":"2021-09-04","opp":"Ji Yeon Kim","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":500.1,"y":98.1,"elo":1536,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Luana Carolina","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":8,"x":543.2,"y":78.2,"elo":1551,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Hannah Goldy","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":581.5,"y":99.6,"elo":1534,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Erin Blanchfield","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":10,"x":667.7,"y":130.8,"elo":1511,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Julija Stoliarenko","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":11,"x":734.7,"y":110.5,"elo":1526,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Diana Belbita","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":794.6,"y":134.6,"elo":1508,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Bruna Brasil","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":159.2,"elo":1489,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Alexia Thainara","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 22, 2025 Alexia Thainara L -19
Jul 27, 2024 Bruna Brasil L -18
Feb 3, 2024 Diana Belbita W +16
Jul 22, 2023 Julija Stoliarenko L -24
Nov 12, 2022 Erin Blanchfield L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.87 avg 3.83
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.28 avg 3.33
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
63% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.65 avg 1.84
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
37% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
38% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.48 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
43%
3 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
1
14% of wins
DEC
4
57% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 1 (14%) 1 Dec: 4 (57%) 4
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1489
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.5
actual 0 vs expected