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Molly McCann "Meatball"

Active #33 womens strawweight · age 36 · Orthodox · 5'4" 163 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 62" 157 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1440
Global Elo 1490 ±38
Rank
#33
top 68% of division
UFC record
7-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
-2
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Mar 22, 2025
Loss by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 23m
Avg fight time
10:12
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
2.1
Since last fight
1y 3mo

Honest Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
May 27, 2018 — L vs Gillian Robertson Δ-30Mar 16, 2019 — W vs Priscila Cachoeira Δ+29Jun 22, 2019 — W vs Ariane Da Silva Δ+27Oct 18, 2019 — W vs Diana Belbita Δ+27Jul 15, 2020 — L vs Taila Santos Δ-35Feb 6, 2021 — L vs Lara Procopio Δ-18Sep 4, 2021 — W vs Ji Yeon Kim Δ+17Mar 19, 2022 — W vs Luana Carolina Δ+20Jul 23, 2022 — W vs Hannah Goldy Δ+15Nov 12, 2022 — L vs Erin Blanchfield Δ-16Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Julija Stoliarenko Δ-24Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Diana Belbita Δ+16Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Bruna Brasil Δ-18Mar 22, 2025 — L vs Alexia Thainara Δ-19 140014251450147515001525 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":354.7,"elo":1422,"date":"2018-05-27","opp":"Gillian Robertson","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":174.7,"y":280.5,"elo":1451,"date":"2019-03-16","opp":"Priscila Cachoeira","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":203,"y":212.4,"elo":1477,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Ariane Da Silva","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":237.1,"y":144,"elo":1504,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Diana Belbita","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":315.5,"y":234.6,"elo":1469,"date":"2020-07-15","opp":"Taila Santos","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":5,"x":375,"y":281,"elo":1450,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Lara Procopio","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":435.7,"y":238,"elo":1467,"date":"2021-09-04","opp":"Ji Yeon Kim","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":492.3,"y":186.8,"elo":1487,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Luana Carolina","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":8,"x":528.8,"y":147.9,"elo":1502,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Hannah Goldy","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":561.1,"y":189.8,"elo":1486,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Erin Blanchfield","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":10,"x":634,"y":251,"elo":1462,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Julija Stoliarenko","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":11,"x":690.6,"y":211.1,"elo":1478,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Diana Belbita","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":741.2,"y":258.4,"elo":1459,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Bruna Brasil","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":810,"y":306.6,"elo":1440,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Alexia Thainara","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 22, 2025 Alexia Thainara L -19
Jul 27, 2024 Bruna Brasil L -18
Feb 3, 2024 Diana Belbita W +16
Jul 22, 2023 Julija Stoliarenko L -24
Nov 12, 2022 Erin Blanchfield L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
43%
3 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
1
14% of wins
DEC
4
57% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 1 (14%) 1 Dec: 4 (57%) 4
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 755 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
83% Distance
  • Distance 83%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 9%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
57%
of losses by finish
4 of 7 · usually R1
0 KO/TKO 4 Sub 3 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1489
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Luana Carolina
Elo 1546 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.5
−0.5 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 14 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1533
1500

Top womens strawweight

See full rankings →
Tatiana Suarez
#1 · Elo 1656
Gillian Robertson
#2 · Elo 1601
Mackenzie Dern C
#3 · Elo 1574
Virna Jandiroba
#4 · Elo 1569
Alexia Thainara
#5 · Elo 1561
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Molly McCann on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.