HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Julia Polastri

Active #27 womens strawweight
Elo rating
1517 ±40
LCB 1465
Rank
#27
top 51% of division
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +11
Last fight
Oct 11, 2025
W by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jun 15, 2024 — L vs Josefine Knutsson Δ-26Oct 12, 2024 — W vs Cory McKenna Δ+33Mar 29, 2025 — L vs Loopy Godinez Δ-25Oct 11, 2025 — W vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz Δ+36 14341464149515261557 2025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":167.3,"elo":1474,"date":"2024-06-15","opp":"Josefine Knutsson","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":233.9,"y":111.7,"elo":1506,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Cory McKenna","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":530.3,"y":154.8,"elo":1481,"date":"2025-03-29","opp":"Loopy Godinez","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":92.7,"elo":1517,"date":"2025-10-11","opp":"Karolina Kowalkiewicz","result":"W","delta":36}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 11, 2025 Karolina Kowalkiewicz W +36
Mar 29, 2025 Loopy Godinez L -25
Oct 12, 2024 Cory McKenna W +33
Jun 15, 2024 Josefine Knutsson L -26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
6.27 avg 3.74
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
56% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.33 avg 3.26
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.75 avg 1.88
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
75% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.25 avg 0.53
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1528
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.8
actual 0 vs expected