HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Tecia Pennington

Active #17 womens strawweight
Elo rating
1563 ±35
LCB 1518
Rank
#17
top 31% of division
UFC record
11-8-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 9
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -5
Last fight
Nov 8, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Dec 12, 2014 — W vs Angela Magana Δ+29Jun 13, 2015 — W vs Angela Hill Δ+29Dec 12, 2015 — W vs Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger Δ+24Apr 16, 2016 — L vs Rose Namajunas Δ-32Feb 4, 2017 — W vs Bec Rawlings Δ+25Jul 7, 2017 — W vs Juliana Lima Δ+16Dec 2, 2017 — W vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Δ+13Feb 24, 2018 — L vs Jessica Andrade Δ-18Jul 28, 2018 — L vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk Δ-13Mar 2, 2019 — L vs Zhang Weili Δ-17Aug 10, 2019 — L vs Marina Rodriguez Δ-17Jun 20, 2020 — W vs Brianna Fortino Δ+16Dec 12, 2020 — W vs Sam Hughes Δ+14Aug 7, 2021 — W vs Angela Hill Δ+13Apr 9, 2022 — L vs Mackenzie Dern Δ-15May 11, 2024 — L vs Tabatha Ricci Δ-16Oct 5, 2024 — W vs Carla Esparza Δ+19May 17, 2025 — W vs Luana Pinheiro Δ+12Nov 8, 2025 — L vs Denise Gomes Δ-16 14891527156616051643 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":181.1,"elo":1529,"date":"2014-12-12","opp":"Angela Magana","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":63.1,"y":141.7,"elo":1558,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Angela Hill","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":102.1,"y":108.6,"elo":1582,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":129,"y":153.2,"elo":1549,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Rose Namajunas","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":191.9,"y":119.2,"elo":1574,"date":"2017-02-04","opp":"Bec Rawlings","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":224.6,"y":97.2,"elo":1590,"date":"2017-07-07","opp":"Juliana Lima","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":256.2,"y":78.9,"elo":1603,"date":"2017-12-02","opp":"Michelle Waterson-Gomez","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":274.2,"y":103,"elo":1586,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":307.1,"y":121.2,"elo":1573,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Joanna Jedrzejczyk","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":9,"x":353.6,"y":144.1,"elo":1556,"date":"2019-03-02","opp":"Zhang Weili","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":388,"y":168.3,"elo":1538,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Marina Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":455.3,"y":146.6,"elo":1554,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Brianna Fortino","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":492.8,"y":128.1,"elo":1568,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Sam Hughes","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":13,"x":543.7,"y":110.7,"elo":1580,"date":"2021-08-07","opp":"Angela Hill","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":14,"x":596.1,"y":131.9,"elo":1565,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Mackenzie Dern","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":15,"x":759.2,"y":153.4,"elo":1549,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Tabatha Ricci","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":16,"x":790.7,"y":128.1,"elo":1568,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Carla Esparza","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":17,"x":838.6,"y":112.3,"elo":1579,"date":"2025-05-17","opp":"Luana Pinheiro","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":134.7,"elo":1563,"date":"2025-11-08","opp":"Denise Gomes","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 8, 2025 Denise Gomes L -16
May 17, 2025 Luana Pinheiro W +12
Oct 5, 2024 Carla Esparza W +19
May 11, 2024 Tabatha Ricci L -16
Apr 9, 2022 Mackenzie Dern L -15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.66 avg 3.80
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.43 avg 3.33
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.56 avg 1.89
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
15% avg 47%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.06 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
9%
1 / 11
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
9% of wins
DEC
9
82% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (10%) 1 Dec: 9 (90%) 9
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1561
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.1
actual +1 vs expected