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Mackenzie Dern C

Active #2 womens strawweight · age 33 · Orthodox · 5'4" 163 cm · 115 lb 52 kg · reach 63" 160 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • 1 successful title defense
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1592
Global Elo 1643 ±39
Rank
#2
top 2% of division
UFC record
12-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 5 · Dec 7
Streak
+4
Δ90d +21 · Δ1y +42
Last fight
Aug 15, 2026
Win by Decision

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Mar 3, 2018 — W vs Ashley Yoder Δ+24May 12, 2018 — W vs Amanda Cooper Δ+30Oct 12, 2019 — L vs Amanda Ribas Δ-30May 30, 2020 — W vs Hannah Cifers Δ+29Sep 19, 2020 — W vs Randa Markos Δ+27Dec 12, 2020 — W vs Virna Jandiroba Δ+15Apr 10, 2021 — W vs Nina Nunes Δ+15Oct 9, 2021 — L vs Marina Rodriguez Δ-18Apr 9, 2022 — W vs Tecia Pennington Δ+16Oct 1, 2022 — L vs Yan Xiaonan Δ-17May 20, 2023 — W vs Angela Hill Δ+12Nov 11, 2023 — L vs Jessica Andrade Δ-19Feb 17, 2024 — L vs Amanda Lemos Δ-15Aug 3, 2024 — W vs Loopy Godinez Δ+16Jan 11, 2025 — W vs Amanda Ribas Δ+18Oct 25, 2025 — W vs Virna Jandiroba Δ+21Aug 15, 2026 — W vs Gillian Robertson Δ+21 14501475150015251550157516001625 2020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":368.1,"elo":1473,"date":"2018-03-03","opp":"Ashley Yoder","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":1,"x":106.3,"y":313.8,"elo":1503,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"Amanda Cooper","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":227.1,"y":369,"elo":1472,"date":"2019-10-12","opp":"Amanda Ribas","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":281,"y":315.6,"elo":1502,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Hannah Cifers","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":307.1,"y":267,"elo":1528,"date":"2020-09-19","opp":"Randa Markos","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":326.7,"y":240.5,"elo":1543,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Virna Jandiroba","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":354.5,"y":212.3,"elo":1558,"date":"2021-04-10","opp":"Nina Nunes","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":396.9,"y":244.9,"elo":1540,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Marina Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":439.4,"y":216.7,"elo":1556,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Tecia Pennington","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":480.2,"y":247.1,"elo":1539,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Yan Xiaonan","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":534.1,"y":225.7,"elo":1551,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Angela Hill","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":11,"x":574.9,"y":261.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2023-11-11","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":12,"x":597.8,"y":288.6,"elo":1516,"date":"2024-02-17","opp":"Amanda Lemos","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":13,"x":636.9,"y":259.3,"elo":1532,"date":"2024-08-03","opp":"Loopy Godinez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":674.5,"y":226.2,"elo":1551,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Amanda Ribas","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":15,"x":741.4,"y":187.6,"elo":1572,"date":"2025-10-25","opp":"Virna Jandiroba","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":16,"x":810,"y":150,"elo":1592,"date":"2026-08-15","opp":"Gillian Robertson","result":"W","delta":21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 15, 2026 Gillian Robertson W +21
Oct 25, 2025 Virna Jandiroba W +21
Jan 11, 2025 Amanda Ribas W +18
Aug 3, 2024 Loopy Godinez W +16
Feb 17, 2024 Amanda Lemos L -15
7 post-fight bonuses
  • Performance of the Night ×4
  • Fight of the Night ×3
$350,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Mackenzie Dern has earned 7. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
42%
5 / 12
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
5
42% of wins
DEC
7
58% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 5 (42%) 5 Dec: 7 (58%) 7
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
4 80%
R2
R3
1 20%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 851 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
74% Distance
  • Distance 74%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 17%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
20%
of losses by finish
1 of 5
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 4 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1601
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Gillian Robertson
Elo 1633 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
9.1
+2.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 17 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1442
1633
Notable wins
Gillian Robertson 1633 Virna Jandiroba 1620
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 12m
Avg fight time
14:49
Fights per year
2.0
Since last fight
0d
Title fights
2-0
Bonuses
7
Ground control
1h 14m
vs Compare Mackenzie Dern with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top womens strawweight

See full rankings →
Tatiana Suarez
#1 · Elo 1656
Alexia Thainara
#3 · Elo 1590
Gillian Robertson
#4 · Elo 1570
Virna Jandiroba
#5 · Elo 1569
Fatima Kline
#6 · Elo 1557
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Mackenzie Dern on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.