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Chepe Mariscal "Machine Gun"

Active #15 featherweight · age 33 · Orthodox · 5'7" 170 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 69" 175 cm
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
Elo rating
1585
Global Elo 1623 ±29
Rank
#15
top 18% of division
UFC record
5-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -18
Last fight
Nov 15, 2025
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 23m
Avg fight time
13:53
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.5
Ground control
24m
Since last fight
7mo

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Jun 24, 2023 — W vs Trevor Peek Δ+31Sep 9, 2023 — W vs Jack Jenkins Δ+35Apr 6, 2024 — W vs Morgan Charriere Δ+26Aug 10, 2024 — W vs Damon Jackson Δ+25Mar 1, 2025 — W vs Ricardo Ramos Δ+23Nov 15, 2025 — L vs Pat Sabatini Δ-18 14501475150015251550157516001625 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":330.8,"elo":1493,"date":"2023-06-24","opp":"Trevor Peek","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":153.4,"y":266.3,"elo":1529,"date":"2023-09-09","opp":"Jack Jenkins","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":2,"x":326.2,"y":218.5,"elo":1555,"date":"2024-04-06","opp":"Morgan Charriere","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":429.8,"y":172.5,"elo":1580,"date":"2024-08-10","opp":"Damon Jackson","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":596.9,"y":129.9,"elo":1603,"date":"2025-03-01","opp":"Ricardo Ramos","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":162.6,"elo":1585,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Pat Sabatini","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2025 Pat Sabatini L -18
Mar 1, 2025 Ricardo Ramos W +23
Aug 10, 2024 Damon Jackson W +25
Apr 6, 2024 Morgan Charriere W +26
Sep 9, 2023 Jack Jenkins W +35

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
20%
1 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
80% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (80%) 4
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 345 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
56% Distance
  • Distance 56%
  • Clinch 23%
  • Ground 22%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 1 loss went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1557
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Jack Jenkins
Elo 1554 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.2
+1.8 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1528
1600

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Chepe Mariscal on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.