Other bouts 6
- 1lightweight MainIlia TopuriavsJustin Gaethje
- 2heavyweightAlex PereiravsCiryl Gane
- 3bantamweightSean O'MalleyvsAiemann Zahabi
- 4lightweightMauricio RuffyvsMichael Chandler
- 5middleweightBo NickalvsKyle Daukaus
- 6featherweightDiego LopesvsSteve Garcia
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Josh Hokit 80.0% · Derrick Lewis 20.0%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Josh Hokit 47.3% · Derrick Lewis 52.7%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Notable
Finishes 80% of wins (16 KO).
8 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Reach advantage of ~6".
Tale of the tape
| 4-0-0 | UFC record | 20-12-0 |
| KO 3 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 16 · Sub 0 |
| +4 | Streak | -2 |
| 28 | Age | 41 |
| 6'1" 185 cm | Height | 6'3" 191 cm |
| 73" 185 cm | Reach | 79" 201 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1639 | Global Elo | 1603 |
| 1613 | Elo rating | 1557 |
Josh Hokit — Notable ▼
- 4-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- Top 5 · heavyweightStrikes Landed per Minute
- 1Brando Pericic11.00
- 2Josh Hokit10.28
- 3Steven Asplund7.65
- 4Tom Aspinall7.63
- 5Ciryl Gane5.40
- Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
- 75% of wins by KO/TKO
Derrick Lewis — Notable ▼
- 80% of wins by KO/TKO
- 35% of wins finished in round 1
- UFC veteran since 2014
Josh Hokit — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 309 landed total · career
- Head 90%
- Body 8%
- Leg 2%
- Distance 68%
- Clinch 17%
- Ground 16%
Derrick Lewis — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 682 landed total · career
- Head 79%
- Body 17%
- Leg 4%
- Distance 40%
- Clinch 18%
- Ground 42%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Brando Pericic11.00
- 2Josh Hokit10.28
- 3Steven Asplund7.65
- 4Tom Aspinall7.63
- 5Ciryl Gane5.40
- 1Louie Sutherland69%
- 2Tom Aspinall68%
- 3Tallison Teixeira67%
- 4Mario Pinto67%
- 5Josh Hokit64%
- 1Jailton Almeida1.32
- 2Mario Pinto1.81
- 3Louie Sutherland1.95
- 4Alexandr Romanov2.13
- 5Marcus Buchecha2.15
- 1Ciryl Gane61%
- 2Mick Parkin60%
- 3Jhonata Diniz58%
- 4Brando Pericic58%
- 5Mario Pinto58%
- 1Jailton Almeida5.57
- 2Valter Walker5.39
- 3Curtis Blaydes5.12
- 4Louie Sutherland4.49
- 5Alexandr Romanov4.49
- 1Tom Aspinall80%
- 2Valter Walker69%
- 3Hamdy Abdelwahab65%
- 4Alexander Volkov63%
- 5Serghei Spivac59%
- 1Tom Aspinall100%
- 2Mario Pinto100%
- 3Valter Walker100%
- 4Steven Asplund100%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab100%
- 1Valter Walker3.59
- 2Jailton Almeida1.64
- 3Ryan Spann1.52
- 4Tom Aspinall1.31
- 5Mario Pinto1.01
- 1Jailton Almeida10.49
- 2Louie Sutherland9.43
- 3Valter Walker7.97
- 4Alexandr Romanov7.32
- 5Mario Pinto7.05
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1582 (Josh Hokit) vs 1602 (Derrick Lewis).
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jun 14, 2026
- Apr 11, 2026
- Jan 24, 2026
- Nov 8, 2025
- Jun 14, 2026
- Jan 24, 2026
- Jul 12, 2025
- May 11, 2024
- Nov 4, 2023