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Denzel Freeman

Active Provisional #42 heavyweight
Elo rating
1515 ±43
LCB 1460
Rank
#42
top 80% of division
UFC record
1-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d -14 · Δ1y +15
Last fight
Jan 24, 2026
L by KO

Elo history

2 fights · tap & drag
Nov 22, 2025 — W vs Marek Bujlo Δ+29Jan 24, 2026 — L vs Josh Hokit Δ-33 14561484151215411569 2026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":99.2,"elo":1529,"date":"2025-11-22","opp":"Marek Bujlo","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":876,"y":160.8,"elo":1496,"date":"2026-01-24","opp":"Josh Hokit","result":"L","delta":-33}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 24, 2026 Josh Hokit L -33
Nov 22, 2025 Marek Bujlo W +29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.45 avg 3.08
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
57% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.40 avg 2.78
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.28
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.31
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1517
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.0
actual 0 vs expected