Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 6
- 1lightweight Main TitleIlia TopuriavsJustin Gaethje
- 3bantamweightSean O'MalleyvsAiemann Zahabi
- 4lightweightMauricio RuffyvsMichael Chandler
- 5middleweightBo NickalvsKyle Daukaus
- 6featherweightDiego LopesvsSteve Garcia
- 7heavyweightJosh HokitvsDerrick Lewis
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Alex Pereira 33.3% · Ciryl Gane 66.7%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Alex Pereira 54.9% · Ciryl Gane 45.1%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 6
Notable
Finishes 80% of wins (8 KO).
7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Title-fight record 6–3.
Title-fight record 2–2.
Tale of the tape
| 10-3-0 | UFC record | 11-2-0 |
| KO 8 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 5 · Sub 2 |
| -1 | Streak | +3 |
| 39 | Age | 36 |
| 6'4" 193 cm | Height | 6'4" 193 cm |
| 79" 201 cm | Reach | 81" 206 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1706 | Global Elo | 1732 |
| 1655 | Elo rating | 1690 |
Alex Pereira — Notable ▼
- 5 successful title defenses
- Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
- 80% of wins by KO/TKO
- 30% of wins finished in round 1
Ciryl Gane — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak
- 1 successful title defense
- Top 5 · heavyweightStriking Defense
- 1Ciryl Gane61%
- 2Mario Pinto59%
- 3Brando Pericic58%
- 4Mick Parkin58%
- 5Tanner Boser58%
- Performance of the Night in last fight
Alex Pereira — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 697 landed total · career
- Head 47%
- Body 26%
- Leg 27%
- Distance 81%
- Clinch 10%
- Ground 8%
Ciryl Gane — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 983 landed total · career
- Head 45%
- Body 27%
- Leg 29%
- Distance 89%
- Clinch 7%
- Ground 4%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Brando Pericic11.00
- 2Josh Hokit10.28
- 3Steven Asplund7.65
- 4Tom Aspinall7.63
- 5Sean Sharaf7.50
- 1Louie Sutherland69%
- 2Mario Pinto69%
- 3Tom Aspinall68%
- 4Tallison Teixeira67%
- 5Josh Hokit64%
- 1Jailton Almeida1.32
- 2Mario Pinto1.88
- 3Louie Sutherland1.95
- 4Alexandr Romanov2.13
- 5Marcus Buchecha2.15
- 1Ciryl Gane61%
- 2Mario Pinto59%
- 3Brando Pericic58%
- 4Mick Parkin58%
- 5Tanner Boser58%
- 1Jailton Almeida5.57
- 2Valter Walker5.39
- 3Curtis Blaydes5.04
- 4Mario Pinto4.62
- 5Louie Sutherland4.49
- 1Robelis Despaigne100%
- 2Tom Aspinall80%
- 3Tanner Boser75%
- 4Valter Walker69%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab65%
- 1Tom Aspinall100%
- 2Mario Pinto100%
- 3Valter Walker100%
- 4Steven Asplund100%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab100%
- 1Valter Walker3.59
- 2Jailton Almeida1.64
- 3Ryan Spann1.58
- 4Tom Aspinall1.31
- 5Alexandr Romanov0.86
- 1Jailton Almeida10.49
- 2Louie Sutherland9.43
- 3Valter Walker7.97
- 4Mario Pinto7.37
- 5Alexandr Romanov7.32
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Ciryl Gane has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1712 vs 1669, 7 quality wins to 7.
- Jun 14, 2026
- Oct 4, 2025
- Mar 8, 2025
- Oct 5, 2024
- Jun 29, 2024
- Jun 14, 2026
- Oct 25, 2025
- Dec 7, 2024
- Sep 2, 2023
- Mar 4, 2023