Other bouts 6
- 1lightweight MainIlia TopuriavsJustin Gaethje
- 3bantamweightSean O'MalleyvsAiemann Zahabi
- 4lightweightMauricio RuffyvsMichael Chandler
- 5middleweightBo NickalvsKyle Daukaus
- 6featherweightDiego LopesvsSteve Garcia
- 7heavyweightJosh HokitvsDerrick Lewis
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Alex Pereira 33.3% · Ciryl Gane 66.7%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Alex Pereira 54.9% · Ciryl Gane 45.1%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Tale of the tape
| 10-3-0 | UFC record | 11-2-0 |
| KO 8 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 5 · Sub 2 |
| -1 | Streak | +3 |
| 38 | Age | 36 |
| 6'4" 193 cm | Height | 6'4" 193 cm |
| 79" 201 cm | Reach | 81" 206 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1706 | Global Elo | 1733 |
| 1655 | Elo rating | 1691 |
Alex Pereira — Notable ▼
- 5 successful title defenses
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 80% of wins by KO/TKO
- 30% of wins finished in round 1
Ciryl Gane — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak
- 1 successful title defense
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Top 5 · heavyweightStriking Defense
- 1Tom Aspinall65%
- 2Ciryl Gane62%
- 3Mick Parkin60%
- 4Jhonata Diniz58%
- 5Brando Pericic58%
Alex Pereira — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 697 landed total · career
- Head 47%
- Body 26%
- Leg 27%
- Distance 81%
- Clinch 10%
- Ground 8%
Ciryl Gane — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 953 landed total · career
- Head 45%
- Body 26%
- Leg 28%
- Distance 88%
- Clinch 7%
- Ground 4%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Brando Pericic11.00
- 2Josh Hokit10.28
- 3Tom Aspinall8.07
- 4Ciryl Gane5.37
- 5Waldo Cortes Acosta5.18
- 1Louie Sutherland69%
- 2Tallison Teixeira67%
- 3Tom Aspinall67%
- 4Mario Pinto67%
- 5Josh Hokit64%
- 1Jailton Almeida1.32
- 2Mario Pinto1.81
- 3Louie Sutherland2.03
- 4Alexandr Romanov2.13
- 5Marcus Buchecha2.15
- 1Tom Aspinall65%
- 2Ciryl Gane62%
- 3Mick Parkin60%
- 4Jhonata Diniz58%
- 5Brando Pericic58%
- 1Valter Walker5.74
- 2Jailton Almeida5.57
- 3Louie Sutherland4.95
- 4Curtis Blaydes4.64
- 5Karl Williams4.50
- 1Tom Aspinall100%
- 2Valter Walker69%
- 3Alexander Volkov63%
- 4Hamdy Abdelwahab63%
- 5Serghei Spivac59%
- 1Tom Aspinall100%
- 2Mario Pinto100%
- 3Karl Williams100%
- 4Hamdy Abdelwahab100%
- 5Martin Buday93%
- 1Valter Walker2.55
- 2Jailton Almeida1.64
- 3Tom Aspinall1.63
- 4Ryan Spann1.52
- 5Mario Pinto1.01
- 1Jailton Almeida10.49
- 2Louie Sutherland10.23
- 3Valter Walker8.40
- 4Alexandr Romanov7.32
- 5Mario Pinto7.05
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Ciryl Gane has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1697 vs 1669, 7 quality wins to 7.
- Jun 14, 2026
- Oct 4, 2025
- Mar 8, 2025
- Oct 5, 2024
- Jun 29, 2024
- Jun 14, 2026
- Dec 7, 2024
- Sep 2, 2023
- Mar 4, 2023
- Sep 3, 2022