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Rodrigo Nascimento "Ze Colmeia"

Active #22 heavyweight · age 33 · Orthodox · 6'2" 188 cm · 246 lb 112 kg · reach 80" 203 cm
Elo rating
1507
Global Elo 1554 ±37
Rank
#22
top 51% of division
UFC record
4-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Nov 2, 2024
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 19m
Avg fight time
11:14
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
1.6
Ground control
18m
Since last fight
1y 8mo

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
May 16, 2020 — W vs Don'Tale Mayes Δ+30Oct 10, 2020 — L vs Chris Daukaus Δ-33Sep 17, 2022 — W vs Tanner Boser Δ+32May 20, 2023 — W vs Ilir Latifi Δ+33Nov 4, 2023 — W vs Don'Tale Mayes Δ+24May 11, 2024 — L vs Derrick Lewis Δ-17Nov 2, 2024 — L vs Alexandr Romanov Δ-15 1425145014751500152515501575 2021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":286.3,"elo":1483,"date":"2020-05-16","opp":"Don'Tale Mayes","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":154.9,"y":356.5,"elo":1450,"date":"2020-10-10","opp":"Chris Daukaus","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":467,"y":287.8,"elo":1482,"date":"2022-09-17","opp":"Tanner Boser","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":575.2,"y":218.2,"elo":1515,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Ilir Latifi","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":649.3,"y":167.2,"elo":1539,"date":"2023-11-04","opp":"Don'Tale Mayes","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":5,"x":732.7,"y":203.7,"elo":1522,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Derrick Lewis","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":235.3,"elo":1507,"date":"2024-11-02","opp":"Alexandr Romanov","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 2, 2024 Alexandr Romanov L -15
May 11, 2024 Derrick Lewis L -17
Nov 4, 2023 Don'Tale Mayes W +24
May 20, 2023 Ilir Latifi W +33
Sep 17, 2022 Tanner Boser W +32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (25%) 1 Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 265 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
2 of 3
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 1 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1565
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ilir Latifi
Elo 1576 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.4
+0.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1470
1595

Top heavyweight

See full rankings →
Ciryl Gane IC
#1 · Elo 1691
Alexander Volkov
#2 · Elo 1656
Alex Pereira
#3 · Elo 1655
Tom Aspinall C
#4 · Elo 1654
Sergei Pavlovich
#5 · Elo 1619
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Rodrigo Nascimento on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.