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Lyoto Machida "The Dragon"

Inactive · age 48 · Southpaw · 6'1" 185 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
At a glance
  • 1 successful title defense
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 4 of last 5 fights
  • 50% of wins by KO or submission
Elo rating
1579
Global Elo 1625 ±35
Rank
—
—
UFC record
16-8-0
KO 7 · Sub 1 · Dec 8
Streak
+2
Δ90d -28 · Δ1y -28
Last fight
May 12, 2018
Win by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 46m
Avg fight time
11:54
Title fights
2-3
Bonuses
9
Fights per year
2.1
Since last fight
8y 1mo

Honest Elo history

24 fights · tap & drag
Feb 3, 2007 — W vs Sam Hoger Δ+29Apr 21, 2007 — W vs David Heath Δ+31Sep 22, 2007 — W vs Kazuhiro Nakamura Δ+24Dec 29, 2007 — W vs Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou Δ+25May 24, 2008 — W vs Tito Ortiz Δ+34Jan 31, 2009 — W vs Thiago Silva Δ+17May 23, 2009 — W vs Rashad Evans Δ+26Oct 24, 2009 — W vs Mauricio Rua Δ+13May 8, 2010 — L vs Mauricio Rua Δ-33Nov 20, 2010 — L vs Quinton Jackson Δ-18Apr 30, 2011 — W vs Randy Couture Δ+20Dec 10, 2011 — L vs Jon Jones Δ-20Aug 4, 2012 — W vs Ryan Bader Δ+18Feb 23, 2013 — W vs Dan Henderson Δ+13Aug 3, 2013 — L vs Phil Davis Δ-17Oct 26, 2013 — W vs Mark Munoz Δ+16Feb 15, 2014 — W vs Gegard Mousasi Δ+10Jul 5, 2014 — L vs Chris Weidman Δ-18Dec 20, 2014 — W vs CB Dollaway Δ+13Apr 18, 2015 — L vs Luke Rockhold Δ-23Jun 27, 2015 — L vs Yoel Romero Δ-18Oct 28, 2017 — L vs Derek Brunson Δ-19Feb 3, 2018 — W vs Eryk Anders Δ+13May 12, 2018 — W vs Vitor Belfort Δ+18 140014501500155016001650 20092011201320152017 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":339.7,"elo":1455,"date":"2007-02-03","opp":"Sam Hoger","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":103.5,"y":299.7,"elo":1486,"date":"2007-04-21","opp":"David Heath","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":130.4,"y":269.1,"elo":1510,"date":"2007-09-22","opp":"Kazuhiro Nakamura","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":147.6,"y":236.7,"elo":1535,"date":"2007-12-29","opp":"Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":173.3,"y":193.8,"elo":1569,"date":"2008-05-24","opp":"Tito Ortiz","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":217.3,"y":171.7,"elo":1586,"date":"2009-01-31","opp":"Thiago Silva","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":236.9,"y":138.8,"elo":1612,"date":"2009-05-23","opp":"Rashad Evans","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":7,"x":263.9,"y":121.6,"elo":1625,"date":"2009-10-24","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":298.2,"y":163.5,"elo":1593,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":9,"x":332.4,"y":187.2,"elo":1574,"date":"2010-11-20","opp":"Quinton Jackson","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":360.6,"y":161.8,"elo":1594,"date":"2011-04-30","opp":"Randy Couture","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":11,"x":399.8,"y":187.9,"elo":1574,"date":"2011-12-10","opp":"Jon Jones","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":441.4,"y":165,"elo":1591,"date":"2012-08-04","opp":"Ryan Bader","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":476.9,"y":148.4,"elo":1604,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Dan Henderson","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":14,"x":505.1,"y":170.8,"elo":1587,"date":"2013-08-03","opp":"Phil Davis","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":15,"x":519.8,"y":150.3,"elo":1603,"date":"2013-10-26","opp":"Mark Munoz","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":16,"x":539.4,"y":138.1,"elo":1612,"date":"2014-02-15","opp":"Gegard Mousasi","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":17,"x":563.9,"y":161.3,"elo":1594,"date":"2014-07-05","opp":"Chris Weidman","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":18,"x":593.3,"y":144.1,"elo":1608,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"CB Dollaway","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":19,"x":614.1,"y":173.1,"elo":1585,"date":"2015-04-18","opp":"Luke Rockhold","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":20,"x":626.3,"y":196.4,"elo":1567,"date":"2015-06-27","opp":"Yoel Romero","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":21,"x":775.7,"y":221.1,"elo":1548,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Derek Brunson","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":22,"x":792.9,"y":204,"elo":1561,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Eryk Anders","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":23,"x":810,"y":180.6,"elo":1579,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"Vitor Belfort","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 12, 2018 Vitor Belfort W +18
Feb 3, 2018 Eryk Anders W +13
Oct 28, 2017 Derek Brunson L -19
Jun 27, 2015 Yoel Romero L -18
Apr 18, 2015 Luke Rockhold L -23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
8 / 16
Finish rate
KO
7
44% of wins
SUB
1
6% of wins
DEC
8
50% of wins
KO: 7 (44%) 7 Sub: 1 (6%) Dec: 8 (50%) 8
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
3 38%
R2
5 63%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 716 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
50% Head
  • Head 50%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 22%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
  • Distance 71%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 16%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
63%
of losses by finish
5 of 8 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 2 Sub 3 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1617
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
8
of 16 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Rashad Evans
Elo 1702 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
13.1
+2.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 24 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1632
Notable wins
Rashad Evans 1702 Randy Couture 1674 Tito Ortiz 1667 Ryan Bader 1638 Vitor Belfort 1632 Thiago Silva 1621

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Lyoto Machida on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.