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Lyoto Machida

Inactive · Southpaw · 185 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1626 ±36
LCB 1579
Rank
—
—
UFC record
16-8-0
KO 7 · Sub 1 · Dec 8
Streak
+2
Δ90d -27 · Δ1y -27
Last fight
May 12, 2018
W by KO

Elo history

24 fights · tap & drag
Feb 3, 2007 — W vs Sam Hoger Δ+29Apr 21, 2007 — W vs David Heath Δ+31Sep 22, 2007 — W vs Kazuhiro Nakamura Δ+24Dec 29, 2007 — W vs Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou Δ+25May 24, 2008 — W vs Tito Ortiz Δ+34Jan 31, 2009 — W vs Thiago Silva Δ+17May 23, 2009 — W vs Rashad Evans Δ+26Oct 24, 2009 — W vs Mauricio Rua Δ+13May 8, 2010 — L vs Mauricio Rua Δ-33Nov 20, 2010 — L vs Quinton Jackson Δ-18Apr 30, 2011 — W vs Randy Couture Δ+20Dec 10, 2011 — L vs Jon Jones Δ-20Aug 4, 2012 — W vs Ryan Bader Δ+18Feb 23, 2013 — W vs Dan Henderson Δ+13Aug 3, 2013 — L vs Phil Davis Δ-18Oct 26, 2013 — W vs Mark Munoz Δ+16Feb 15, 2014 — W vs Gegard Mousasi Δ+10Jul 5, 2014 — L vs Chris Weidman Δ-18Dec 20, 2014 — W vs CB Dollaway Δ+13Apr 18, 2015 — L vs Luke Rockhold Δ-23Jun 27, 2015 — L vs Yoel Romero Δ-18Oct 28, 2017 — L vs Derek Brunson Δ-19Feb 3, 2018 — W vs Eryk Anders Δ+13May 12, 2018 — W vs Vitor Belfort Δ+18 14891551161416771739 20092011201320152017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":202.1,"elo":1529,"date":"2007-02-03","opp":"Sam Hoger","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":39.9,"y":175.6,"elo":1560,"date":"2007-04-21","opp":"David Heath","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":71.8,"y":155.4,"elo":1584,"date":"2007-09-22","opp":"Kazuhiro Nakamura","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":92.1,"y":134,"elo":1609,"date":"2007-12-29","opp":"Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":122.5,"y":105.6,"elo":1643,"date":"2008-05-24","opp":"Tito Ortiz","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":174.7,"y":91,"elo":1660,"date":"2009-01-31","opp":"Thiago Silva","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":197.9,"y":69.2,"elo":1686,"date":"2009-05-23","opp":"Rashad Evans","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":7,"x":229.8,"y":57.9,"elo":1699,"date":"2009-10-24","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":270.3,"y":85.6,"elo":1667,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":9,"x":310.9,"y":101.1,"elo":1648,"date":"2010-11-20","opp":"Quinton Jackson","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":344.2,"y":84.5,"elo":1668,"date":"2011-04-30","opp":"Randy Couture","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":11,"x":390.6,"y":101.7,"elo":1647,"date":"2011-12-10","opp":"Jon Jones","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":439.9,"y":86.6,"elo":1665,"date":"2012-08-04","opp":"Ryan Bader","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":481.9,"y":75.4,"elo":1679,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Dan Henderson","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":14,"x":515.2,"y":90.3,"elo":1661,"date":"2013-08-03","opp":"Phil Davis","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":15,"x":532.6,"y":76.7,"elo":1677,"date":"2013-10-26","opp":"Mark Munoz","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":16,"x":555.8,"y":68.7,"elo":1686,"date":"2014-02-15","opp":"Gegard Mousasi","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":17,"x":584.8,"y":84,"elo":1668,"date":"2014-07-05","opp":"Chris Weidman","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":18,"x":619.5,"y":72.7,"elo":1682,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"CB Dollaway","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":19,"x":644.2,"y":91.9,"elo":1659,"date":"2015-04-18","opp":"Luke Rockhold","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":20,"x":658.7,"y":107.2,"elo":1641,"date":"2015-06-27","opp":"Yoel Romero","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":21,"x":835.4,"y":123.6,"elo":1622,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Derek Brunson","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":22,"x":855.7,"y":112.3,"elo":1635,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Eryk Anders","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":23,"x":876,"y":96.9,"elo":1653,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"Vitor Belfort","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 12, 2018 Vitor Belfort W +18
Feb 3, 2018 Eryk Anders W +13
Oct 28, 2017 Derek Brunson L -19
Jun 27, 2015 Yoel Romero L -18
Apr 18, 2015 Luke Rockhold L -23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.27 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.47 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
63% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.67 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
64% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
76% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.38 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
8 / 16
Finish rate
KO
7
44% of wins
SUB
1
6% of wins
DEC
8
50% of wins
KO: 7 (44%) 7 Sub: 1 (6%) Dec: 8 (50%) 8
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
3 38%
R2
5 63%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1617
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
13.1
actual +3 vs expected