HonestElo
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Ivan Menjivar

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 163 cm
Elo rating
1509 ±40
LCB 1457
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +9 · Δ1y +9
Last fight
Mar 1, 2014
L by Decision

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Jun 19, 2004 — L vs Matt Serra Δ-29Apr 30, 2011 — W vs Charlie Valencia Δ+36Aug 6, 2011 — W vs Nick Pace Δ+31Feb 15, 2012 — W vs John Albert Δ+33Jul 7, 2012 — L vs Mike Easton Δ-30Nov 17, 2012 — W vs Azamat Gashimov Δ+16Feb 23, 2013 — L vs Urijah Faber Δ-21Sep 21, 2013 — L vs Wilson Reis Δ-18Mar 1, 2014 — L vs Hatsu Hioki Δ-18 14311476152115661611 20062008201020122014 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":188.8,"elo":1471,"date":"2004-06-19","opp":"Matt Serra","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":626.8,"y":146.4,"elo":1507,"date":"2011-04-30","opp":"Charlie Valencia","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":650.4,"y":109.8,"elo":1538,"date":"2011-08-06","opp":"Nick Pace","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":696.8,"y":71.2,"elo":1571,"date":"2012-02-15","opp":"John Albert","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":731.2,"y":106.4,"elo":1541,"date":"2012-07-07","opp":"Mike Easton","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":763.2,"y":87.2,"elo":1557,"date":"2012-11-17","opp":"Azamat Gashimov","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":786.8,"y":112.4,"elo":1536,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Urijah Faber","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":7,"x":837.3,"y":133.3,"elo":1518,"date":"2013-09-21","opp":"Wilson Reis","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":154.2,"elo":1500,"date":"2014-03-01","opp":"Hatsu Hioki","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 1, 2014 Hatsu Hioki L -18
Sep 21, 2013 Wilson Reis L -18
Feb 23, 2013 Urijah Faber L -21
Nov 17, 2012 Azamat Gashimov W +16
Jul 7, 2012 Mike Easton L -30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.18 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
36% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.21 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
66% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.32 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
29% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
31% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.95 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
2
50% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 2 (50%) 2 Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1508
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.7
actual -1 vs expected