HonestElo
← light heavyweight

Forrest Griffin

Inactive · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1600 ±37
LCB 1551
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 7
Streak
+1
Δ90d -21 · Δ1y -21
Last fight
Jul 7, 2012
W by Decision

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Apr 9, 2005 — W vs Stephan Bonnar Δ+36Jun 4, 2005 — W vs Bill Mahood Δ+30Oct 7, 2005 — W vs Elvis Sinosic Δ+23Apr 15, 2006 — L vs Tito Ortiz Δ-24Aug 26, 2006 — W vs Stephan Bonnar Δ+26Dec 30, 2006 — L vs Keith Jardine Δ-20Jun 16, 2007 — W vs Hector Ramirez Δ+11Sep 22, 2007 — W vs Mauricio Rua Δ+14Jul 5, 2008 — W vs Quinton Jackson Δ+22Dec 27, 2008 — L vs Rashad Evans Δ-19Aug 8, 2009 — L vs Anderson Silva Δ-11Nov 21, 2009 — W vs Tito Ortiz Δ+19Feb 5, 2011 — W vs Rich Franklin Δ+19Aug 27, 2011 — L vs Mauricio Rua Δ-21Jul 7, 2012 — W vs Tito Ortiz Δ+16 14961539158116241666 200720092011 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":186.1,"elo":1536,"date":"2005-04-09","opp":"Stephan Bonnar","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":42,"y":149.1,"elo":1566,"date":"2005-06-04","opp":"Bill Mahood","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":82.3,"y":120.5,"elo":1589,"date":"2005-10-07","opp":"Elvis Sinosic","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":3,"x":143.5,"y":150.4,"elo":1565,"date":"2006-04-15","opp":"Tito Ortiz","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":4,"x":186.3,"y":117.7,"elo":1591,"date":"2006-08-26","opp":"Stephan Bonnar","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":226.9,"y":143,"elo":1571,"date":"2006-12-30","opp":"Keith Jardine","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":281,"y":128.9,"elo":1582,"date":"2007-06-16","opp":"Hector Ramirez","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":7,"x":312.5,"y":111.4,"elo":1596,"date":"2007-09-22","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":404.9,"y":84.3,"elo":1618,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Quinton Jackson","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":9,"x":461.3,"y":107.8,"elo":1599,"date":"2008-12-27","opp":"Rashad Evans","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":10,"x":533.4,"y":121,"elo":1588,"date":"2009-08-08","opp":"Anderson Silva","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":11,"x":567.2,"y":97.7,"elo":1607,"date":"2009-11-21","opp":"Tito Ortiz","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":12,"x":709.2,"y":73.9,"elo":1626,"date":"2011-02-05","opp":"Rich Franklin","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":13,"x":774.6,"y":99.7,"elo":1605,"date":"2011-08-27","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":80.3,"elo":1621,"date":"2012-07-07","opp":"Tito Ortiz","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 7, 2012 Tito Ortiz W +16
Aug 27, 2011 Mauricio Rua L -21
Feb 5, 2011 Rich Franklin W +19
Nov 21, 2009 Tito Ortiz W +19
Aug 8, 2009 Anderson Silva L -11

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.30 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
36% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.68 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.81 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
43% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
61% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.65 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
30%
3 / 10
Finish rate
KO
1
10% of wins
SUB
2
20% of wins
DEC
7
70% of wins
KO: 1 (10%) 1 Sub: 2 (20%) 2 Dec: 7 (70%) 7
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1651
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.5
actual +2 vs expected