HonestElo
← featherweight

Tatsuya Kawajiri

Inactive · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1528 ±39
LCB 1478
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +3 · Δ1y +3
Last fight
Aug 6, 2016
L by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Jan 4, 2014 — W vs Sean Soriano Δ+33Apr 11, 2014 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-27Jun 20, 2015 — W vs Dennis Siver Δ+34Dec 11, 2015 — W vs Jason Knight Δ+26Feb 21, 2016 — L vs Dennis Bermudez Δ-27Aug 6, 2016 — L vs Cub Swanson Δ-12 14661501153615711606 20152016 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":134.2,"elo":1533,"date":"2014-01-04","opp":"Sean Soriano","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":111.5,"y":175.2,"elo":1506,"date":"2014-04-11","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":2,"x":503.6,"y":123.5,"elo":1540,"date":"2015-06-20","opp":"Dennis Siver","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":660.5,"y":84.8,"elo":1566,"date":"2015-12-11","opp":"Jason Knight","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":725.4,"y":126.4,"elo":1538,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Dennis Bermudez","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":145.4,"elo":1526,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Cub Swanson","result":"L","delta":-12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 6, 2016 Cub Swanson L -12
Feb 21, 2016 Dennis Bermudez L -27
Dec 11, 2015 Jason Knight W +26
Jun 20, 2015 Dennis Siver W +34
Apr 11, 2014 Clay Guida L -27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.60 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.87 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
37% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.18 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
31% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.35 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1565
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual 0 vs expected