HonestElo
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Kris Moutinho

Elo rating
1391 ±20
LCB 1365
Rank
#94
top 99% of division
UFC record
0-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d -24 · Δ1y -48
Last fight
Feb 28, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jul 10, 2021 — L vs Sean O'Malley Δ-24Mar 12, 2022 — L vs Guido Cannetti Δ-36Jun 14, 2025 — L vs Malcolm Wellmaker Δ-24Feb 28, 2026 — L vs Cristian Quinonez Δ-24 13511392143314751516 20222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":75.6,"elo":1476,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Sean O'Malley","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":1,"x":147.2,"y":122.5,"elo":1439,"date":"2022-03-12","opp":"Guido Cannetti","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":2,"x":745.7,"y":153.6,"elo":1415,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Malcolm Wellmaker","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":184.4,"elo":1391,"date":"2026-02-28","opp":"Cristian Quinonez","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 28, 2026 Cristian Quinonez L -24
Jun 14, 2025 Malcolm Wellmaker L -24
Mar 12, 2022 Guido Cannetti L -36
Jul 10, 2021 Sean O'Malley L -24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.88 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
33% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
8.03 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
31% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
30% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
SUB
0
DEC
0
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1511
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.7
actual -2 vs expected