HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Emily Ducote

Active #40 womens strawweight
Elo rating
1478 ±39
LCB 1427
Rank
#40
top 76% of division
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d +7 · Δ1y +7
Last fight
May 18, 2024
L by Decision

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Jul 16, 2022 — W vs Jessica Penne Δ+28Dec 3, 2022 — L vs Angela Hill Δ-33May 20, 2023 — L vs Loopy Godinez Δ-25Oct 14, 2023 — W vs Ashley Yoder Δ+26May 18, 2024 — L vs Vanessa Demopoulos Δ-25 14301464149915341568 20232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":85.3,"elo":1528,"date":"2022-07-16","opp":"Jessica Penne","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":201.5,"y":135.9,"elo":1495,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Angela Hill","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":414.5,"y":174.7,"elo":1470,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Loopy Godinez","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":3,"x":600.9,"y":134.5,"elo":1496,"date":"2023-10-14","opp":"Ashley Yoder","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":172.8,"elo":1471,"date":"2024-05-18","opp":"Vanessa Demopoulos","result":"L","delta":-25}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 18, 2024 Vanessa Demopoulos L -25
Oct 14, 2023 Ashley Yoder W +26
May 20, 2023 Loopy Godinez L -25
Dec 3, 2022 Angela Hill L -33
Jul 16, 2022 Jessica Penne W +28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
7.45 avg 3.83
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
7.84 avg 3.33
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.20 avg 1.84
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
14% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
94% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1497
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.5
actual 0 vs expected