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Luana Carolina "Dread"

Active #16 womens bantamweight · age 33 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 69" 175 cm
Elo rating
1475
Global Elo 1519 ±34
Rank
#16
top 48% of division
UFC record
6-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -18
Last fight
Sep 27, 2025
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 13m
Avg fight time
13:19
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
1.6
Since last fight
9mo

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
May 11, 2019 — W vs Priscila Cachoeira Δ+24Jul 18, 2020 — L vs Ariane Da Silva Δ-37May 1, 2021 — W vs Poliana Botelho Δ+32Oct 16, 2021 — W vs Loopy Godinez Δ+28Mar 19, 2022 — L vs Molly McCann Δ-36Mar 18, 2023 — L vs Joanne Wood Δ-17Jul 1, 2023 — W vs Ivana Petrovic Δ+16Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Julija Stoliarenko Δ+15Jul 20, 2024 — W vs Lucie Pudilova Δ+12Sep 27, 2025 — L vs Michelle Montague Δ-18 1420144014601480150015201540 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":250.5,"elo":1480,"date":"2019-05-11","opp":"Priscila Cachoeira","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":1,"x":224.1,"y":350,"elo":1443,"date":"2020-07-18","opp":"Ariane Da Silva","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":2,"x":312.7,"y":264.9,"elo":1474,"date":"2021-05-01","opp":"Poliana Botelho","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":364.6,"y":191.9,"elo":1502,"date":"2021-10-16","opp":"Loopy Godinez","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":412.2,"y":287.9,"elo":1466,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Molly McCann","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":5,"x":524.6,"y":333.2,"elo":1449,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Joanne Wood","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":557,"y":289.7,"elo":1465,"date":"2023-07-01","opp":"Ivana Petrovic","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":624.1,"y":248.9,"elo":1480,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Julija Stoliarenko","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":675.9,"y":217.7,"elo":1492,"date":"2024-07-20","opp":"Lucie Pudilova","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":264.7,"elo":1475,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Michelle Montague","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 27, 2025 Michelle Montague L -18
Jul 20, 2024 Lucie Pudilova W +12
Feb 3, 2024 Julija Stoliarenko W +15
Jul 1, 2023 Ivana Petrovic W +16
Mar 18, 2023 Joanne Wood L -17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
17%
1 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
83% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (83%) 5
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 604 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 30%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
  • Distance 71%
  • Clinch 22%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
2 of 4
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1474
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Poliana Botelho
Elo 1525 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.5
+0.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1443
1500

Top womens bantamweight

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Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Luana Carolina on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.