HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Ketlen Souza

Active #34 womens strawweight
Elo rating
1497 ±38
LCB 1447
Rank
#34
top 65% of division
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d +17 · Δ1y -8
Last fight
Feb 7, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Jun 3, 2023 — L vs Karine Silva Δ-30Apr 27, 2024 — W vs Marnic Mann Δ+29Sep 14, 2024 — W vs Yazmin Jauregui Δ+37Feb 15, 2025 — L vs Angela Hill Δ-31Aug 2, 2025 — L vs Piera Rodriguez Δ-25Feb 7, 2026 — W vs Bruna Brasil Δ+17 14301467150315401576 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":178,"elo":1470,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Karine Silva","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":310,"y":136.1,"elo":1499,"date":"2024-04-27","opp":"Marnic Mann","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":431.7,"y":82,"elo":1536,"date":"2024-09-14","opp":"Yazmin Jauregui","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":565.6,"y":127.1,"elo":1505,"date":"2025-02-15","opp":"Angela Hill","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":711.7,"y":163.2,"elo":1480,"date":"2025-08-02","opp":"Piera Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":139.1,"elo":1497,"date":"2026-02-07","opp":"Bruna Brasil","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 7, 2026 Bruna Brasil W +17
Aug 2, 2025 Piera Rodriguez L -25
Feb 15, 2025 Angela Hill L -31
Sep 14, 2024 Yazmin Jauregui W +37
Apr 27, 2024 Marnic Mann W +29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.71 avg 3.83
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
56% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.57 avg 3.33
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.43 avg 1.84
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
13% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
54% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.21 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1514
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual 0 vs expected