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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

5-5-0 UFC record 3-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 1
+1 Streak +1
30 Age 34
5'4" 163 cm Height 5'6" 168 cm
64" 163 cm Reach 66" 168 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1490 Global Elo 1537
1438 Elo rating 1489
Veronica Hardy — Notable
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2016
Dione Barbosa — Notable
At a glance

Veronica Hardy — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 390 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 13%

Dione Barbosa — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 148 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
  • Head 63%
  • Body 28%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 9%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.06
2.30
div avg 4.20
46%
45%
div avg 46%
3.24
2.52
div avg 3.62
50%
64%
div avg 56%
0.82
2.34
div avg 1.48
41%
42%
div avg 40%
52%
67%
div avg 67%
0.35
1.17
div avg 0.41
2
4
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Veronica Hardy
20% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Dione Barbosa
finished 0%
never finished
Dione Barbosa
33% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Veronica Hardy
finished 40%
2 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1512 (Veronica Hardy) vs 1524 (Dione Barbosa).

Veronica Hardy red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1512
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
JJ Aldrich
Elo 1558 at fight time
Expected wins
4.3
+0.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 10 fights
1501
1438
Dione Barbosa blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1524
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Melissa Gatto
Elo 1532 at fight time
Expected wins
2.4
+0.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1500
1532
Corner A recent form
Veronica Hardy
Corner B recent form
Dione Barbosa
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Veronica Hardy & Dione Barbosa on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.