Other bouts 11
- 1middleweight MainDricus Du PlessisvsKamaru Usman
- 3lightweightChase HoopervsMitch Ramirez
- 4women's strawweightTabatha RiccivsFatima Kline
- 5featherweightTommy McMillenvsAlberto Montes
- 6featherweightAustin BashivsJose Delgado
- 7welterweightJean-Paul LebosnoyanivsSeokhyeon Ko
- 8Not linkedlight heavyweightLevi Rodrigues Jr.vsFelipe Franco
- 9flyweightAlden CoriavsStewart Nicoll
- 10Not linkedheavyweightRJ HarrisvsAlvin Hines
- 11Not linkedwomen's flyweightAnna MelisanovsDione Barbosa
- 12Not linkedfeatherweightEzra ElliottvsDamien Anderson
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Jared Cannonier 22.1% · Christian Leroy Duncan 77.9%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Jared Cannonier 49.8% · Christian Leroy Duncan 50.2%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 7
Notable
Has never been finished — all 2 losses went to the scorecards.
8 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
On a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the tape
| 11-10-0 | UFC record | 8-2-0 |
| KO 7 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 5 · Sub 0 |
| -2 | Streak | +5 |
| 42 | Age | 31 |
| 5'11" 180 cm | Height | 6'2" 188 cm |
| 77" 196 cm | Reach | 79" 201 cm |
| Switch | Stance | Switch |
| 1584 | Global Elo | 1618 |
| 1535 | Elo rating | 1588 |
Jared Cannonier — Notable ▼
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 64% of wins by KO/TKO
- 86% takedown defense in last 3 fights
- UFC veteran since 2015
Christian Leroy Duncan — Notable ▼
- 5-fight UFC win streak
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 63% of wins by KO/TKO
Jared Cannonier — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1245 landed total · career
- Head 63%
- Body 20%
- Leg 17%
- Distance 81%
- Clinch 12%
- Ground 7%
Christian Leroy Duncan — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 469 landed total · career
- Head 49%
- Body 17%
- Leg 34%
- Distance 74%
- Clinch 19%
- Ground 7%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Marco Tulio7.07
- 2Djorden Santos6.97
- 3Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 4Jackson Mcvey6.51
- 5Ozzy Diaz6.36
- 1Jackson Mcvey69%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Shara Magomedov63%
- 4Bo Nickal62%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov61%
- 1Ismail Naurdiev1.75
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Cam Rowston1.98
- 4Bo Nickal2.00
- 5Cesar Almeida2.32
- 1Ismail Naurdiev65%
- 2Donte Johnson63%
- 3Ozzy Diaz63%
- 4Sean Strickland61%
- 5Michal Oleksiejczuk60%
- 1Anthony Hernandez5.91
- 2Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 3Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Donte Johnson100%
- 3Robert Bryczek100%
- 4Nursulton Ruziboev80%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 3Bo Nickal100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
- 1Julian Marquez2.67
- 2Robert Valentin2.54
- 3Anthony Hernandez1.64
- 4Kyle Daukaus1.53
- 5Gerald Meerschaert1.49
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Anthony Hernandez7.85
- 3Cam Rowston7.18
- 4Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Jared Cannonier has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1607 vs 1565, 7 quality wins to 2.
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jul 18, 2026
- Aug 16, 2025
- Feb 15, 2025
- Aug 24, 2024
- Jun 8, 2024
- Jul 18, 2026
- Mar 21, 2026
- Nov 8, 2025
- Aug 9, 2025
- Mar 22, 2025