Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 11
- 1middleweight MainDricus Du PlessisvsKamaru Usman
- 3lightweightChase HoopervsMitch Ramirez
- 4women's strawweightTabatha RiccivsFatima Kline
- 5featherweightTommy McMillenvsAlberto Montes
- 6featherweightAustin BashivsJose Delgado
- 7welterweightJean-Paul LebosnoyanivsSeokhyeon Ko
- 8Not linkedlight heavyweightLevi Rodrigues Jr.vsFelipe Franco
- 9flyweightAlden CoriavsStewart Nicoll
- 10Not linkedheavyweightRJ HarrisvsAlvin Hines
- 11Not linkedwomen's flyweightAnna MelisanovsDione Barbosa
- 12Not linkedfeatherweightEzra ElliottvsDamien Anderson
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Jared Cannonier 22.1% · Christian Leroy Duncan 77.9%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Jared Cannonier 49.8% · Christian Leroy Duncan 50.2%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 7
Notable
8 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Both enter off a loss (Jul 2026 / Oct 2026).
Tale of the tape
| 11-10-0 | UFC record | 8-3-0 |
| KO 7 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 5 · Sub 0 |
| -2 | Streak | -1 |
| 42 | Age | 31 |
| 5'11" 180 cm | Height | 6'2" 188 cm |
| 77" 196 cm | Reach | 79" 201 cm |
| Switch | Stance | Switch |
| 1584 | Global Elo | 1603 |
| 1535 | Elo rating | 1563 |
Jared Cannonier — Notable ▼
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 64% of wins by KO/TKO
- 86% takedown defense in last 3 fights
- UFC veteran since 2015
Christian Leroy Duncan — Notable ▼
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 63% of wins by KO/TKO
Jared Cannonier — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1245 landed total · career
- Head 63%
- Body 20%
- Leg 17%
- Distance 81%
- Clinch 12%
- Ground 7%
Christian Leroy Duncan — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 575 landed total · career
- Head 52%
- Body 17%
- Leg 31%
- Distance 75%
- Clinch 18%
- Ground 7%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Ryan Gandra10.00
- 2Yousri Belgaroui8.35
- 3Jackson Mcvey7.14
- 4Marco Tulio7.07
- 5Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 1Damian Pinas71%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Yousri Belgaroui65%
- 4Shara Magomedov63%
- 5Bo Nickal62%
- 1Michael Page1.40
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Yousri Belgaroui1.93
- 4Cam Rowston1.98
- 5Bo Nickal2.00
- 1Yousri Belgaroui70%
- 2Ismail Naurdiev64%
- 3Donte Johnson63%
- 4Michael Page63%
- 5Ozzy Diaz62%
- 1Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 2Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 3Anthony Hernandez5.09
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
- 1Yousri Belgaroui100%
- 2Ateba Gautier100%
- 3Donte Johnson100%
- 4Robert Bryczek100%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
- 1Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 2Bo Nickal100%
- 3Ateba Gautier100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
- 1Wes Schultz4.85
- 2Julian Marquez2.67
- 3Robert Valentin2.54
- 4Bo Nickal1.47
- 5Kyle Daukaus1.43
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Cam Rowston7.18
- 3Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 4Anthony Hernandez6.99
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1607 (Jared Cannonier) vs 1605 (Christian Leroy Duncan).
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jul 18, 2026
- Aug 16, 2025
- Feb 15, 2025
- Aug 24, 2024
- Jun 8, 2024
- Oct 10, 2026
- Jul 18, 2026
- Mar 21, 2026
- Nov 8, 2025
- Aug 9, 2025