HonestElo
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✓ Alden Coria won · by Decision · R3
flyweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Jul 18, 2026 · Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Alden Coria
#10 3-0-0
Elo 1547
VS
Corner B
Stewart Nicoll
#46 0-4-0
Elo 1368
Final result · recorded Jul 18, 2026
Alden Coria
defeated Stewart Nicoll by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Alden Coria 67.1% · Stewart Nicoll 32.9%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Alden Coria 68.6% · Stewart Nicoll 31.4%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 7
Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman Main event · middleweight Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan middleweight Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez lightweight Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline women's strawweight Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes featherweight Austin Bashi vs Jose Delgado featherweight Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko welterweight

Tale of the tape

3-0-0 UFC record 0-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+3 Streak -4
28 Age 30
5'8" 173 cm Height 5'5" 165 cm
67" 170 cm Reach 65" 165 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1573 Global Elo 1394
1547 Elo rating 1368
Alden Coria — Notable ▼
At a glance
Stewart Nicoll — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround

Alden Coria — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 165 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 10%

Stewart Nicoll — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 128 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
71% Head
  • Head 71%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
95% Distance
  • Distance 95%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 5%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.05
3.01
div avg 3.86
42%
37%
div avg 46%
2.21
4.81
div avg 3.26
70%
54%
div avg 57%
2.21
2.82
div avg 1.56
55%
23%
div avg 38%
56%
33%
div avg 63%
1.47
0.00
div avg 0.81
3
3
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Alden Coria
33% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Stewart Nicoll
finished 50%
2 of 4 losses
Stewart Nicoll
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Alden Coria
finished —
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Stewart Nicoll has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1509 vs 1456, 0 quality wins to 0.

Alden Coria red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1456
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Alessandro Costa
Elo 1515 at fight time
Expected wins
1.8
+1.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1515
1412
Stewart Nicoll blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1509
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
—
Expected wins
1.7
−1.7 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1529
1556

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

Corner A recent form
Alden Coria
Corner B recent form
Stewart Nicoll
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Alden Coria & Stewart Nicoll on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.