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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

0-1-0 UFC record 0-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
-1 Streak -1
34 Age 28
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'5" 196 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 80" 203 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1528 Global Elo 1527
1502 Elo rating 1501
Alvin Hines — Notable
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
Allen Frye Jr. — Notable
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal

Alvin Hines — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 82 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
98% Distance
  • Distance 98%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 0%

Allen Frye Jr. — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 33 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
52% Head
  • Head 52%
  • Body 36%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
58% Distance
  • Distance 58%
  • Clinch 42%
  • Ground 0%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.47
2.20
div avg 4.16
32%
38%
div avg 50%
7.47
4.27
div avg 4.13
38%
36%
div avg 50%
1.00
0.00
div avg 1.53
10%
div avg 38%
div avg 72%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.42
0
8
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Alvin Hines
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Allen Frye Jr.
finished 0%
never finished
Allen Frye Jr.
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Alvin Hines
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Alvin Hines has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1536 vs 1500, 0 quality wins to 0.

Alvin Hines red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1536
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
Expected wins
0.5
−0.5 below schedule
Allen Frye Jr. blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1500
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
Expected wins
0.5
−0.5 below schedule
Corner A recent form
Alvin Hines
Corner B recent form
Allen Frye Jr.
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Alvin Hines & Allen Frye Jr. on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.