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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

1-0-0 UFC record 1-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 1
+1 Streak +1
28 Age 32
6'0" 183 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 69" 175 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1532 Global Elo 1532
1506 Elo rating 1506
Tommy Mcmillen — Notable
At a glance
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1
Alberto Montes — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 100% of wins by submission
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Tommy Mcmillen — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 74 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 0%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 4%

Alberto Montes — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 32 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 19%
  • Ground 0%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

18.73
5.65
div avg 4.31
55%
55%
div avg 48%
5.06
3.88
div avg 3.46
67%
63%
div avg 56%
0.00
0.00
div avg 1.56
div avg 41%
100%
div avg 65%
0.00
2.65
div avg 0.48
0
1
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Tommy Mcmillen
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Alberto Montes
finished
no losses
Alberto Montes
100% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Tommy Mcmillen
finished
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1467 (Tommy Mcmillen) vs 1459 (Alberto Montes).

Tommy Mcmillen red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1467
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Manolo Zecchini
Elo 1467 at fight time
Expected wins
0.6
+0.5 above schedule
Alberto Montes blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1459
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ricky Turcios
Elo 1459 at fight time
Expected wins
0.6
+0.4 above schedule
Corner A recent form
Tommy Mcmillen
Corner B recent form
Alberto Montes
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Tommy Mcmillen & Alberto Montes on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.