Tommy Mcmillen vs Alberto Montes — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 11
- 1middleweight MainDricus Du PlessisvsKamaru Usman
- 2middleweightJared CannoniervsChristian Leroy Duncan
- 3lightweightChase HoopervsMitch Ramirez
- 4women's strawweightTabatha RiccivsFatima Kline
- 6featherweightAustin BashivsJose Delgado
- 7welterweightJean-Paul LebosnoyanivsSeokhyeon Ko
- 8Not linkedlight heavyweightLevi Rodrigues Jr.vsFelipe Franco
- 9flyweightAlden CoriavsStewart Nicoll
- 10Not linkedheavyweightRJ HarrisvsAlvin Hines
- 11Not linkedwomen's flyweightAnna MelisanovsDione Barbosa
- 12Not linkedfeatherweightEzra ElliottvsDamien Anderson
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Tommy Mcmillen 54.8% · Alberto Montes 45.2%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Tommy Mcmillen 50.0% · Alberto Montes 50.0%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 7
Notable
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Reach advantage of ~5".
Tale of the tape
| 3-0-0 | UFC record | 1-1-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 1 |
| +3 | Streak | -1 |
| 28 | Age | 32 |
| 6'0" 183 cm | Height | 5'7" 170 cm |
| 74" 188 cm | Reach | 69" 175 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1592 | Global Elo | 1509 |
| 1566 | Elo rating | 1459 |
Tommy Mcmillen — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- Top 5 · featherweightStrikes Landed per Minute
- 1Tommy Mcmillen12.80
- 2Hyder Amil7.28
- 3Marwan Rahiki6.87
- 4Luke Riley6.67
- 5Michael Aswell Jr.6.22
- Top 5 · featherweightTakedown Accuracy
- 1Tommy Mcmillen100%
- 2Yadier Del Valle100%
- 3Gaston Bolanos75%
- 4Erik Silva75%
- 5Jean Silva67%
- Fight of the Night in last fight
Alberto Montes — Notable ▼
- 100% of wins by submission
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Tommy Mcmillen — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 415 landed total · career
- Head 70%
- Body 23%
- Leg 7%
- Distance 90%
- Clinch 7%
- Ground 3%
Alberto Montes — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 88 landed total · career
- Head 76%
- Body 16%
- Leg 8%
- Distance 93%
- Clinch 7%
- Ground 0%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Tommy Mcmillen12.80
- 2Hyder Amil7.28
- 3Marwan Rahiki6.87
- 4Luke Riley6.67
- 5Michael Aswell Jr.6.22
- 1Erik Silva67%
- 2Isaac Dulgarian64%
- 3Gabriel Santos61%
- 4Bogdan Grad59%
- 5Luke Riley59%
- 1Yadier Del Valle0.90
- 2Pat Sabatini1.16
- 3Jordan Leavitt1.63
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.65
- 5Erik Silva1.66
- 1Felipe Lima68%
- 2Miles Johns67%
- 3Mairon Santos66%
- 4Yadier Del Valle66%
- 5Youssef Zalal65%
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Movsar Evloev4.78
- 3Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 4Isaac Dulgarian4.57
- 5Pat Sabatini4.27
- 1Tommy Mcmillen100%
- 2Yadier Del Valle100%
- 3Gaston Bolanos75%
- 4Erik Silva75%
- 5Jean Silva67%
- 1Fernando Padilla100%
- 2Jose Aldo92%
- 3Kevin Vallejos90%
- 4Felipe Lima90%
- 5Sean Woodson88%
- 1Westin Wilson7.87
- 2Yadier Del Valle2.71
- 3Gabriel Miranda1.90
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.83
- 5Daniel Pineda1.54
- 1Pat Sabatini10.65
- 2Isaac Dulgarian10.58
- 3Bogdan Grad6.76
- 4Jordan Leavitt5.97
- 5Darren Elkins5.51
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1519 (Tommy Mcmillen) vs 1494 (Alberto Montes).
- Sep 12, 2026
- Jul 18, 2026
- Apr 4, 2026
- Jul 18, 2026
- Mar 7, 2026