HonestElo
← womens bantamweight

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Inactive · Orthodox · 173 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1464 ±38
LCB 1415
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-6-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +24 · Δ1y +24
Last fight
Jul 15, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Dec 6, 2014 — L vs Raquel Pennington Δ-33Feb 21, 2016 — W vs Marion Reneau Δ+34Sep 3, 2016 — W vs Veronica Hardy Δ+33Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Ketlen Vieira Δ-29Sep 9, 2017 — L vs Sarah Moras Δ-34Apr 7, 2018 — W vs Bec Rawlings Δ+16Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Andrea Lee Δ-14Nov 28, 2020 — L vs Norma Dumont Δ-16Jul 15, 2023 — L vs Ailin Perez Δ-15 14001444148715301574 2016201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":155,"elo":1467,"date":"2014-12-06","opp":"Raquel Pennington","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":143.8,"y":113.3,"elo":1501,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Marion Reneau","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":196.7,"y":72.9,"elo":1534,"date":"2016-09-03","opp":"Veronica Hardy","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":257.4,"y":109,"elo":1504,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Ketlen Vieira","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":297.2,"y":150.1,"elo":1471,"date":"2017-09-09","opp":"Sarah Moras","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":354.2,"y":131,"elo":1486,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Bec Rawlings","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":439.8,"y":148.4,"elo":1472,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Andrea Lee","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":616,"y":168.2,"elo":1456,"date":"2020-11-28","opp":"Norma Dumont","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":187.1,"elo":1440,"date":"2023-07-15","opp":"Ailin Perez","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 15, 2023 Ailin Perez L -15
Nov 28, 2020 Norma Dumont L -16
Feb 17, 2019 Andrea Lee L -14
Apr 7, 2018 Bec Rawlings W +16
Sep 9, 2017 Sarah Moras L -34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.88 avg 3.67
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
34% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.42 avg 3.00
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.91 avg 1.29
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
23% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1484
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.4
actual -1 vs expected