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Ashlee Evans-Smith "Rebel Girl"

Inactive · age 38 · Orthodox · 5'8" 173 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 67" 170 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Elo rating
1413
Global Elo 1464 ±39
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-6-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +23 · Δ1y +23
Last fight
Jul 15, 2023
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 51m
Avg fight time
12:17
Fights per year
1.0
Since last fight
2y 11mo

Honest Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Dec 6, 2014 — L vs Raquel Pennington Δ-33Feb 21, 2016 — W vs Marion Reneau Δ+34Sep 3, 2016 — W vs Veronica Hardy Δ+33Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Ketlen Vieira Δ-29Sep 9, 2017 — L vs Sarah Moras Δ-34Apr 7, 2018 — W vs Bec Rawlings Δ+16Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Andrea Lee Δ-14Nov 28, 2020 — L vs Norma Dumont Δ-16Jul 15, 2023 — L vs Ailin Perez Δ-15 13751400142514501475150015251550 2016201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":292.6,"elo":1439,"date":"2014-12-06","opp":"Raquel Pennington","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":191.3,"y":230.3,"elo":1473,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Marion Reneau","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":235.9,"y":169.9,"elo":1506,"date":"2016-09-03","opp":"Veronica Hardy","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":287.2,"y":223.9,"elo":1477,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Ketlen Vieira","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":320.9,"y":285.3,"elo":1443,"date":"2017-09-09","opp":"Sarah Moras","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":369,"y":256.8,"elo":1459,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Bec Rawlings","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":441.4,"y":282.7,"elo":1445,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Andrea Lee","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":590.3,"y":312.4,"elo":1428,"date":"2020-11-28","opp":"Norma Dumont","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":810,"y":340.5,"elo":1413,"date":"2023-07-15","opp":"Ailin Perez","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 15, 2023 Ailin Perez L -15
Nov 28, 2020 Norma Dumont L -16
Feb 17, 2019 Andrea Lee L -14
Apr 7, 2018 Bec Rawlings W +16
Sep 9, 2017 Sarah Moras L -34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 446 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
51% Head
  • Head 51%
  • Body 30%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Distance
  • Distance 69%
  • Clinch 22%
  • Ground 9%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
2 of 6 · usually R1
0 KO/TKO 2 Sub 4 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1484
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Marion Reneau
Elo 1531 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.4
−1.4 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 9 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1497
1468

Top womens bantamweight

See full rankings →
Kayla Harrison C
#1 · Elo 1594
Luana Santos
#2 · Elo 1577
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
#3 · Elo 1573
Ailin Perez
#4 · Elo 1572
Norma Dumont
#5 · Elo 1566
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Ashlee Evans-Smith on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.