HonestElo
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Danilo Marques

Inactive · Orthodox · 198 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1495 ±38
LCB 1445
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +14 · Δ1y +14
Last fight
Feb 5, 2022
L by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Sep 26, 2020 — W vs Khadis Ibragimov Δ+22Feb 6, 2021 — W vs Mike Rodriguez Δ+29Jun 26, 2021 — L vs Kennedy Nzechukwu Δ-35Feb 5, 2022 — L vs Jailton Almeida Δ-35 14411478151615531591 20212022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":121.4,"elo":1522,"date":"2020-09-26","opp":"Khadis Ibragimov","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":1,"x":252,"y":80.6,"elo":1551,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Mike Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":492,"y":130.3,"elo":1516,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Kennedy Nzechukwu","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":179.4,"elo":1481,"date":"2022-02-05","opp":"Jailton Almeida","result":"L","delta":-35}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 5, 2022 Jailton Almeida L -35
Jun 26, 2021 Kennedy Nzechukwu L -35
Feb 6, 2021 Mike Rodriguez W +29
Sep 26, 2020 Khadis Ibragimov W +22

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.22 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
80% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.13 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.33 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
29% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
0% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.67 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
8 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1481
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.2
actual 0 vs expected