HonestElo
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Kyle Kingsbury

Inactive · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 201 cm
Elo rating
1518 ±40
LCB 1466
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-4
Δ90d +6 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Jul 26, 2014
L by Decision

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Dec 13, 2008 — L vs Tom Lawlor Δ-29Oct 24, 2009 — W vs Razak Al-Hassan Δ+28Sep 15, 2010 — W vs Jared Hamman Δ+29Feb 5, 2011 — W vs Ricardo Romero Δ+33Jun 4, 2011 — W vs Fabio Maldonado Δ+27Nov 19, 2011 — L vs Stephan Bonnar Δ-18May 26, 2012 — L vs Glover Teixeira Δ-22Sep 29, 2012 — L vs Jimi Manuwa Δ-18Jul 26, 2014 — L vs Patrick Cummins Δ-17 14311480152915791628 200920102011201220132014 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":192.8,"elo":1471,"date":"2008-12-13","opp":"Tom Lawlor","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":154.9,"y":162.2,"elo":1500,"date":"2009-10-24","opp":"Razak Al-Hassan","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":290.3,"y":131.5,"elo":1528,"date":"2010-09-15","opp":"Jared Hamman","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":349.7,"y":95.7,"elo":1561,"date":"2011-02-05","opp":"Ricardo Romero","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":399.1,"y":67.2,"elo":1588,"date":"2011-06-04","opp":"Fabio Maldonado","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":468.9,"y":86.6,"elo":1570,"date":"2011-11-19","opp":"Stephan Bonnar","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":547.4,"y":110.3,"elo":1548,"date":"2012-05-26","opp":"Glover Teixeira","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":7,"x":599.8,"y":129.9,"elo":1530,"date":"2012-09-29","opp":"Jimi Manuwa","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":148.2,"elo":1513,"date":"2014-07-26","opp":"Patrick Cummins","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 26, 2014 Patrick Cummins L -17
Sep 29, 2012 Jimi Manuwa L -18
May 26, 2012 Glover Teixeira L -22
Nov 19, 2011 Stephan Bonnar L -18
Jun 4, 2011 Fabio Maldonado W +27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.76 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.54 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.45 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
42% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
52% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1518
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.8
actual -1 vs expected