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Fabio Maldonado "Caipira de Aco"

Inactive · age 46 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 205 lb 93 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2010
Elo rating
1460
Global Elo 1507 ±36
Rank
UFC record
5-6-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d +10 · Δ1y +10
Last fight
Nov 7, 2015
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 15m
Avg fight time
12:19
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
2.2
Since last fight
10y 8mo

Honest Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Oct 16, 2010 — W vs James McSweeney Δ+33Jun 4, 2011 — L vs Kyle Kingsbury Δ-26May 15, 2012 — L vs Igor Pokrajac Δ-28Oct 13, 2012 — L vs Glover Teixeira Δ-24May 18, 2013 — W vs Roger Hollett Δ+31Oct 9, 2013 — W vs Joey Beltran Δ+16Mar 23, 2014 — W vs Gian Villante Δ+16May 31, 2014 — L vs Stipe Miocic Δ-14Oct 25, 2014 — W vs Hans Stringer Δ+20Apr 25, 2015 — L vs Quinton Jackson Δ-13Nov 7, 2015 — L vs Corey Anderson Δ-14 1375140014251450147515001525 20112012201320142015 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":151,"elo":1496,"date":"2010-10-16","opp":"James McSweeney","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":180,"y":207.3,"elo":1470,"date":"2011-06-04","opp":"Kyle Kingsbury","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":314.8,"y":267.7,"elo":1442,"date":"2012-05-15","opp":"Igor Pokrajac","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":3,"x":373.6,"y":318.5,"elo":1418,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Glover Teixeira","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":4,"x":458.2,"y":252.6,"elo":1449,"date":"2013-05-18","opp":"Roger Hollett","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":514.3,"y":218.9,"elo":1465,"date":"2013-10-09","opp":"Joey Beltran","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":578.6,"y":184.3,"elo":1481,"date":"2014-03-23","opp":"Gian Villante","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":605.5,"y":213.5,"elo":1467,"date":"2014-05-31","opp":"Stipe Miocic","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":8,"x":662.7,"y":171.3,"elo":1487,"date":"2014-10-25","opp":"Hans Stringer","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":9,"x":733.6,"y":198.6,"elo":1474,"date":"2015-04-25","opp":"Quinton Jackson","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":10,"x":810,"y":228.5,"elo":1460,"date":"2015-11-07","opp":"Corey Anderson","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 7, 2015 Corey Anderson L -14
Apr 25, 2015 Quinton Jackson L -13
Oct 25, 2014 Hans Stringer W +20
May 31, 2014 Stipe Miocic L -14
Mar 23, 2014 Gian Villante W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
2 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
60% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (60%) 3
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
1 50%
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 717 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 36%
  • Leg 1%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
67% Distance
  • Distance 67%
  • Clinch 26%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
2 of 6
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 4 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1559
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Hans Stringer
Elo 1531 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.0
right on what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 11 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1497
1555

Top light heavyweight

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Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Fabio Maldonado on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.