HonestElo
← welterweight

Andrew Craig

Inactive · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1513 ±41
LCB 1460
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +16 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Jul 15, 2015
L by KO

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Mar 2, 2012 — W vs Kyle Noke Δ+33Jul 11, 2012 — W vs Rafael Natal Δ+33Jan 19, 2013 — L vs Ronny Markes Δ-29Jul 6, 2013 — W vs Chris Leben Δ+31Oct 26, 2013 — L vs Luke Barnatt Δ-37Jun 28, 2014 — L vs Cezar Ferreira Δ-15Jul 15, 2015 — L vs Lyman Good Δ-19 14571495153315711608 201320142015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":129,"elo":1533,"date":"2012-03-02","opp":"Kyle Noke","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":114.7,"y":82.3,"elo":1567,"date":"2012-07-11","opp":"Rafael Natal","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":247.7,"y":123.3,"elo":1538,"date":"2013-01-19","opp":"Ronny Markes","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":364.1,"y":80.1,"elo":1568,"date":"2013-07-06","opp":"Chris Leben","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":441.7,"y":131.7,"elo":1532,"date":"2013-10-26","opp":"Luke Barnatt","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":5,"x":611.4,"y":152.9,"elo":1516,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Cezar Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":179.9,"elo":1497,"date":"2015-07-15","opp":"Lyman Good","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 15, 2015 Lyman Good L -19
Jun 28, 2014 Cezar Ferreira L -15
Oct 26, 2013 Luke Barnatt L -37
Jul 6, 2013 Chris Leben W +31
Jan 19, 2013 Ronny Markes L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.28 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.87 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.50 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
72% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1541
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.4
actual 0 vs expected