HonestElo
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Jamal Pogues

Active #45 heavyweight · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1496 ±42
LCB 1442
Rank
#45
top 86% of division
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Feb 1, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Feb 18, 2023 — W vs Josh Parisian Δ+28Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Mick Parkin Δ-31Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Thomas Petersen Δ+29Feb 1, 2025 — L vs Hamdy Abdelwahab Δ-31 14551483151215401568 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":99,"elo":1528,"date":"2023-02-18","opp":"Josh Parisian","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":207.8,"y":157.5,"elo":1497,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Mick Parkin","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":441.6,"y":102.9,"elo":1526,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Thomas Petersen","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":161,"elo":1495,"date":"2025-02-01","opp":"Hamdy Abdelwahab","result":"L","delta":-31}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 1, 2025 Hamdy Abdelwahab L -31
Feb 3, 2024 Thomas Petersen W +29
Jul 22, 2023 Mick Parkin L -31
Feb 18, 2023 Josh Parisian W +28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.38 avg 3.08
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.90 avg 2.78
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
47% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.25 avg 1.28
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.31
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1498
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.1
actual 0 vs expected