HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Gabriella Fernandes

Active #21 womens flyweight
Elo rating
1520 ±38
LCB 1470
Rank
#21
top 56% of division
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d -17 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Mar 28, 2026
L by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Feb 25, 2023 — L vs Jasmine Jasudavicius Δ-29Jun 17, 2023 — L vs Tereza Bleda Δ-29Jun 15, 2024 — W vs Carli Judice Δ+34Nov 23, 2024 — W vs Wang Cong Δ+38Aug 9, 2025 — W vs Julija Stoliarenko Δ+22Mar 28, 2026 — L vs Casey O'Neill Δ-17 14021446148915331576 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":152.1,"elo":1471,"date":"2023-02-25","opp":"Jasmine Jasudavicius","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":108.7,"y":187.3,"elo":1442,"date":"2023-06-17","opp":"Tereza Bleda","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":383.9,"y":146.4,"elo":1476,"date":"2024-06-15","opp":"Carli Judice","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":505.6,"y":100,"elo":1514,"date":"2024-11-23","opp":"Wang Cong","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":4,"x":701.4,"y":72.7,"elo":1536,"date":"2025-08-09","opp":"Julija Stoliarenko","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":93,"elo":1520,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Casey O'Neill","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 28, 2026 Casey O'Neill L -17
Aug 9, 2025 Julija Stoliarenko W +22
Nov 23, 2024 Wang Cong W +38
Jun 15, 2024 Carli Judice W +34
Jun 17, 2023 Tereza Bleda L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.37 avg 3.79
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.09 avg 3.50
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.40 avg 1.36
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
18% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
69% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.20 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1501
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.9
actual 0 vs expected