HonestElo
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Jeff Molina

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1566 ±20
LCB 1540
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+3
Δ90d -12 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Jun 4, 2022
W by Decision

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Apr 24, 2021 — W vs Aoriqileng Δ+29Oct 23, 2021 — W vs Daniel Lacerda Δ+30Jun 4, 2022 — W vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov Δ+20 14891521155415861619 2022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":170.8,"elo":1529,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Aoriqileng","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":405.9,"y":121.2,"elo":1559,"date":"2021-10-23","opp":"Daniel Lacerda","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":89.2,"elo":1579,"date":"2022-06-04","opp":"Zhalgas Zhumagulov","result":"W","delta":20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 4, 2022 Zhalgas Zhumagulov W +20
Oct 23, 2021 Daniel Lacerda W +30
Apr 24, 2021 Aoriqileng W +29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
7.30 avg 3.37
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.33 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.57
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
74% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.75
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1482
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.7
actual +1 vs expected