HonestElo
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Dan Henderson

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1552 ±38
LCB 1503
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-9-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-1
Δ90d -3 · Δ1y -3
Last fight
Oct 8, 2016
L by Decision

Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
May 15, 1998 — W vs Carlos Newton Δ+39May 15, 1998 — W vs Allan Goes Δ+26Sep 8, 2007 — L vs Quinton Jackson Δ-33Mar 1, 2008 — L vs Anderson Silva Δ-22Sep 6, 2008 — W vs Rousimar Palhares Δ+31Jan 17, 2009 — W vs Rich Franklin Δ+23Jul 11, 2009 — W vs Michael Bisping Δ+22Nov 19, 2011 — W vs Mauricio Rua Δ+17Feb 23, 2013 — L vs Lyoto Machida Δ-13Jun 15, 2013 — L vs Rashad Evans Δ-12Nov 9, 2013 — L vs Vitor Belfort Δ-15Mar 23, 2014 — W vs Mauricio Rua Δ+20May 24, 2014 — L vs Daniel Cormier Δ-18Jan 24, 2015 — L vs Gegard Mousasi Δ-20Jun 6, 2015 — W vs Tim Boetsch Δ+19Nov 7, 2015 — L vs Vitor Belfort Δ-14Jun 4, 2016 — W vs Hector Lombard Δ+19Oct 8, 2016 — L vs Michael Bisping Δ-13 14701513155616001643 200120042007201020132016 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":150.9,"elo":1539,"date":"1998-05-15","opp":"Carlos Newton","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":1,"x":24,"y":119.4,"elo":1565,"date":"1998-05-15","opp":"Allan Goes","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":455.4,"y":160.2,"elo":1532,"date":"2007-09-08","opp":"Quinton Jackson","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":3,"x":477.6,"y":186.9,"elo":1510,"date":"2008-03-01","opp":"Anderson Silva","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":4,"x":501.5,"y":148.9,"elo":1541,"date":"2008-09-06","opp":"Rousimar Palhares","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":518.4,"y":121.2,"elo":1564,"date":"2009-01-17","opp":"Rich Franklin","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":6,"x":540.6,"y":93.8,"elo":1586,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Michael Bisping","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":7,"x":649.7,"y":73.1,"elo":1603,"date":"2011-11-19","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":708.3,"y":89.2,"elo":1590,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Lyoto Machida","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":9,"x":722.5,"y":103.6,"elo":1578,"date":"2013-06-15","opp":"Rashad Evans","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":10,"x":741.1,"y":121.8,"elo":1563,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Vitor Belfort","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":11,"x":758.1,"y":97.6,"elo":1583,"date":"2014-03-23","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":12,"x":766,"y":119.2,"elo":1565,"date":"2014-05-24","opp":"Daniel Cormier","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":797,"y":144.4,"elo":1545,"date":"2015-01-24","opp":"Gegard Mousasi","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":813.9,"y":121,"elo":1564,"date":"2015-06-06","opp":"Tim Boetsch","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":15,"x":833.4,"y":138.5,"elo":1550,"date":"2015-11-07","opp":"Vitor Belfort","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":16,"x":860,"y":115.1,"elo":1569,"date":"2016-06-04","opp":"Hector Lombard","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":17,"x":876,"y":131.6,"elo":1555,"date":"2016-10-08","opp":"Michael Bisping","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 8, 2016 Michael Bisping L -13
Jun 4, 2016 Hector Lombard W +19
Nov 7, 2015 Vitor Belfort L -14
Jun 6, 2015 Tim Boetsch W +19
Jan 24, 2015 Gegard Mousasi L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.24 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.94 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.96 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
43% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.32 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
44%
4 / 9
Finish rate
KO
4
44% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
56% of wins
KO: 4 (44%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (56%) 5
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
2 50%
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1595
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.7
actual +1 vs expected